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Prediction markets for BLS

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

3.66%chance

12828289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9508

1582

Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?

Dec 13, 3:14 PMJan 12, 11:59 PM

38.39%chance

947396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

790

Will US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

Oct 7, 6:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.31%chance

345173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2013

732

Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs by 2025?

May 12, 9:26 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM

10.64%chance

445031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3584

468

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

61%chance

302497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1453

875

Will there be more software developers employed in the United States in June 2026 than June 2025?

Jul 2, 8:15 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

56.79%chance

182100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

886

BLS pauses monthly job report by June 2026?

Aug 12, 5:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

52.45%chance

161885

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

Will Automation by AI Cut Computer Programmer Jobs at least 25% by 2032?

Jan 12, 2:57 AMJan 19, 7:59 AM

79.91%chance

211471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2033

331

Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?

Dec 26, 6:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.45%chance

241410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

959

Will the BLS predict a net decline in jobs over the occupations "Computer Programmer" and "Software Developer" by 2028?

Aug 23, 5:32 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

50.07%chance

161264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1257

604

Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029?

May 7, 9:29 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

33.78%chance

13880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1316

777

Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?

Jan 4, 2:27 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

51.16%chance

8499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

977

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