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Prediction markets for BLS

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

Jan 22, 9:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.44%chance

5527676

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24289

3154

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

3.44%chance

12227376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10020

1563

Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?

Jan 22, 7:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34%chance

2216820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14997

5858

Will US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

Oct 7, 6:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.31%chance

345173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2013

732

Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs by 2025?

May 12, 9:26 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM

37.33%chance

423128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1544

1008

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

60.27%chance

282217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1381

858

BLS pauses monthly job report by June 2026?

Aug 12, 5:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

52.45%chance

161885

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

Will Automation by AI Cut Computer Programmer Jobs at least 25% by 2032?

Jan 12, 2:57 AMJan 19, 7:59 AM

79.58%chance

201455

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2017

335

Will the BLS predict a net decline in jobs over the occupations "Computer Programmer" and "Software Developer" by 2028?

Aug 23, 5:32 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

50.69%chance

151254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

594

Will the US Civilian labor force participation rate in January 2026 be above that in January 2022?

Aug 8, 11:48 PMFeb 1, 6:59 AM

46.7%chance

13459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1249

511

Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029?

May 7, 9:29 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

52.15%chance

12410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

876

EJ Antoni confirmed as BLS commissioner?

Aug 15, 12:06 AMApr 1, 12:00 AM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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