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Prediction markets for Blue

Virginia redistricting: Will the Charlottesville district be blue?

Dec 21, 12:31 AMNov 4, 12:19 AM

3.61%chance

4281630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32683

476

At end of year 2026, how difficult will it be to obtain feminizing HRT as an adult in blue states?

Jul 14, 5:30 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6721266

OptionProbability

About the same as in 2024

Notably more difficult than in 2024

Notably easier than in 2024

Virtually impossible

61

29

6

3

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.39%chance

3611321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1851

541

Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?

May 19, 6:02 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

28.55%chance

5610837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1689

326

Blue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?

Mar 11, 7:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

3.31%chance

267294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4775

72

Will social conservatism in the US significantly affect the lives of people in blue states before 2029

Jul 17, 4:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.17%chance

365571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2223

450

Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?

Mar 1, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.51%chance

285066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2921

342

Destiny's Blue Coat (permanent)

Feb 9, 1:26 PMFeb 9, 11:59 PM

72.27%chance

371629

OptionVotes

NO

YES

338

100

What will Adjacent’s BLUE political index value be at the 2026 midterms?

Jun 23, 9:42 PMJun 24, 3:59 AM

71610

OptionProbability

99 - 107

108 - 116

90 - 98

117 - 125

126 - 135

Above 135

Below 90

28

25

17

12

7

6

4

Will a Manifold subscription include a "blue check"?

Jan 1, 1:45 AMDec 28, 12:32 PM

81.99%chance

271494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1441

837

Will Mr. Beast run a red button vs. blue button video by the end of the year?

Apr 30, 2:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

15919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

Will Phase 2A of the Blue Line Metro in Bangalore be functional by 2028?

Jan 8, 3:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.77%chance

3647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

976

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