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Prediction markets for Blue

Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)

Nov 24, 12:08 AMDec 28, 12:59 PM

72%chance

7619689

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1503

682

At end of year 2026, how difficult will it be to obtain feminizing HRT as an adult in blue states?

Jul 14, 5:30 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6216685

OptionProbability

About the same as in 2024

Notably more difficult than in 2024

Notably easier than in 2024

Virtually impossible

52

38

6

4

Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?

May 19, 6:02 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

12.38%chance

539849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2370

162

Virginia redistricting: Will the Charlottesville district be blue?

Dec 21, 12:31 AMNov 4, 12:19 AM

73.07%chance

96024

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10393

9851

Will social conservatism in the US significantly affect the lives of people in blue states before 2029

Jul 17, 4:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.17%chance

365571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2223

450

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.36%chance

194783

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2901

345

Blue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?

Mar 11, 7:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

5.87%chance

234781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4006

250

Will any player get a blue card at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Feb 8, 8:44 PMSep 1, 3:59 AM

9.18%chance

242012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1689

871

Will any player get a blue card in the Premiere League before 2030?

Feb 8, 8:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.27%chance

171851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1427

689

Destiny's Blue Coat (permanent)

Feb 9, 1:26 PMFeb 9, 11:59 PM

72.27%chance

371629

OptionVotes

NO

YES

338

100

Will a Manifold subscription include a "blue check"?

Jan 1, 1:45 AMDec 28, 12:32 PM

81.99%chance

271494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1441

837

Will Phase 2A of the Blue Line Metro in Bangalore be functional by 2028?

Jan 8, 3:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.77%chance

3647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

976

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