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BMY News

    Prediction markets for BMY

    More than half of humans will be overweight or obese by end of 2035?

    Mar 2, 1:31 PMDec 31, 12:37 PM
    25.76%chance
    482666

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1366

    882

    OptionProbability

    Peripheral nervous system - spinal cord or nerve injury

    Psychological (anxiety)

    Hypothalamus - structural abnormality

    Thyroid - Hyperthyroidism

    Pituitary gland - structural abnormality

    Hypothalamus - tumor (non-cancerous)

    Testes - physical abnormality

    Penis - prostate tumor (cancer)

    Thyroid - Hypothyroidism

    Pituitary gland - tumor (non-cancerous)

    Testes - tumor (cancer)

    Penis - structural abnormality

    Penis - prostate tumor (non-cancerous)

    Testes - tumor (non-cancerous)

    Pituitary gland - tumor (cancerous)

    Hypothalamus - tumor (cancerous)

    Other brain abnormality or tumor (non-cancerous) e.g. Prolactinoma

    Nervous system - Multiple sclerosis

    Pornography Addiction

    Other brain tumor (cancerous)

    55

    45

    36

    29

    28

    28

    28

    28

    28

    26

    26

    26

    25

    24

    23

    21

    21

    21

    21

    18

    When will I die

    Feb 21, 5:10 AMFeb 28, 7:59 AM
    141957

    OptionProbability

    >70

    60-70

    <30

    30-40

    40-50

    50-60

    39

    35

    12

    9

    2

    2

    Will Jerique be fat at 30?

    Jul 23, 11:57 PMJul 25, 9:59 PM
    79%chance
    41412

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    111

    47

    What personal goals will I achieve before GTA VI

    Dec 31, 4:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    4235

    OptionProbability

    3 pull-ups

    BMI < 25

    BMI < 24

    BMI < 23

    Deadlift 150% of body weight

    Deadlift 175% of body weight

    5k < 23 minutes

    5k < 22 minutes

    Half marathon < 2h

    Half marathon < 01:50:00

    Half marathon < 01:40:00

    5 pull-ups

    10 pull-ups

    FTP > 2.5W/kg

    FTP > 2.75W/kg

    FTP > 3W/kg

    Deadlift 200% of body weight

    69

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    43

    Will I beat Emily in the 2023-2028 BMI War?

    Apr 23, 9:44 PMApr 24, 6:59 AM
    74.95%chance
    6186

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    191

    59

    OptionProbability

    ...I do not donate a kidney

    ...I donate a kidney

    19

    18

    BMI ≥ 21.0 by April 2026?

    Dec 3, 5:00 AMApr 1, 11:59 PM
    41.92%chance
    580

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    177

    127

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