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Prediction markets for BO

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74%chance

293621168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2825

2569

Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025?

May 14, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.64%chance

474211069

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4270

3314

"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?

Apr 3, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.96%chance

222107585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2002

499

Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?

Jan 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

25%chance

6662788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1157

907

Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?

Mar 26, 12:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

61.01%chance

16152137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1739

1079

Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?

Aug 22, 11:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

49.56%chance

336232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10058

9942

Will I think the "AI has a data bottleneck" people are dumb before the end of 2025?

Jan 26, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.68%chance

225271

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12078

8128

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Oct 5, 6:22 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

42%chance

62029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11755

8505

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

48.71%chance

121255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10481

9520

Will evidence emerge that Bo Xilai kidnapped Xi Jinping during a power struggle prior to Xi's ascension to Chairman?

Apr 9, 10:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.09%chance

21723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

962

When will Bo Burnham release his next comedy special?

Mar 3, 1:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10293

OptionProbability

2025 (or earlier)

2026

2027

2028 (or later)

54

15

15

15

Will Kaiser Kuo interview Bo Guagua?

Jun 30, 3:10 AM

00

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