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Prediction markets for Boa

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73%chance

294629111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2722

2606

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.72%chance

5954539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

40585

2464

Boa Stock

May 3, 8:02 PMMay 3, 9:59 PM

6429392

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1435

976

Who Will the Last Strawhat Be?

Mar 10, 2:40 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

849270

OptionProbability

Loki

Vivi

Jewelry Bonney

Yamato

Vegapunk Lilith

The Crew is full. No more Strawhats

Other

Law

A new character who is yet to be revealed.

Carrot

Smoker

Boa Hancock

Kizaru

Shirahoshi

Bon Clay

Gin

Stussy

Charlotte Pudding

Woop Slap

Pandaman

67

63

43

42

35

23

23

15

13

10

10

7

7

7

6

5

4

3

3

3

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

47.84%chance

125581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10661

9352

BOA launches USD stablecoin in 2025?

Mar 7, 6:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.11%chance

124778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5579

179

Movie/TV show about Sam Altman's Firing from OpenAI / Battle of the Board, before 2027?

Jun 3, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76%chance

232243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1780

562

Peter Thiel cuts a check to Donald Boat by March 2026?

Aug 15, 8:54 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

20.06%chance

71741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1996

501

Will Sam Altman join the board of a current S&P 500 company by 2028?

Jan 23, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.63%chance

211065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

986

"Board of Peace" established before 2027?

Sep 30, 8:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.74%chance

11576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1401

714

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

47.74%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

956

Will "OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 10, 3:29 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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