Board of Directors News

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.68%chance

301639757

OptionVotes

YES

2690

2506

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

Feb 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.47%chance

188357

OptionVotes

YES

944

888

By when will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company?

Apr 1, 1:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

273354

OptionProbability

2100

2060

2050

2045

2040

2035

2030

Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?

Dec 14, 5:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

122726

OptionProbability

John Bolton – Former National Security Advisor under President Trump

John Brennan – Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

James Comey – Former FBI Director

James Clapper – Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN

John Carlin – Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI

Hillary Clinton – Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama

Merrick Garland – Attorney General under President Biden

Kamala Harris – Vice President of the United States

Loretta Lynch – Former Attorney General under President Obama

Susan Rice – Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden

Alexander Vindman – Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump

Andrew McCabe – Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump

Fiona Hill – Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella

John Podesta – Former Counselor to President Obama

Lisa Page – Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

Eric Holder – Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm

Robert Mueller – Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel

Stephen Boyd – Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein

Sally Yates – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump

Evelyn Farkas – Former DoD official under President Obama

Lloyd Austin – Secretary of Defense under President Biden

Mark Milley – Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

Jake Sullivan – National Security Advisor under President Biden

Christopher Wray – Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding

James Baker – Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter

Eric Ciaramella – Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations

Mark Esper – Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump

Lisa Monaco – Deputy Attorney General of the United States

Pat Philbin – Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump

Peter Strzok – Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division

Michael Sussmann – Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm

Robert Hur – Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein

Andrew Weissman – Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller

Michael Atkinson – Former Intelligence Community Inspector General

Pat Cipollone – Former White House Counsel under President Trump

Timothy Thibault – Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office

Joe Biden – President of the United States

Cassidy Hutchinson – Aide to Mark Meadows

Brian Auten – Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI

Elizabeth Dibble – Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London

Sarah Isgur Flores – Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions

Stephanie Grisham – Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump

Gina Haspel – Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm

Curtis Heide – FBI Agent

Nina Jankowicz – Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration

Lois Lerner – Former Director of the IRS under President Obama

Charles Kupperman – Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump

Kenneth Mackenzie – Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command

Ryan McCarthy – Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump

Mary McCord – Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection

Denis McDonough – Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs

Sally Moyer – Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare

Bruce Ohr – Former Associate Deputy Attorney General

Samantha Power – Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development

Bill Priestap – Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division

Rod Rosenstein – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm

Miles Taylor – Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"

Alyssa Farah – Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump

Nellie Ohr – Former CIA Employee and Independent Contractor for Fusion GPS

Bill Barr – Former Attorney General under President Trump

100

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

36%chance

141088

OptionVotes

YES

1334

750

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Jan 28, 10:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

47.53%chance

30915

OptionVotes

YES

1149

774

Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030?

Nov 13, 9:55 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

68.8%chance

13269

OptionVotes

YES

232

When will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company? [10 years bulk]

Apr 2, 9:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6171

OptionProbability

2044-2054

2034-2044

2054-2064

2024-2034

2064-2074

2074-2084

2104-2110

2084-2094

2094-2104

BART/Caltrain merger by 2028?

Dec 23, 2:27 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.68%chance

5125

OptionVotes

YES

209

When will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company? [2 years bulk]

Apr 2, 9:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

486

OptionProbability

2046-2048

2044-2046

2030-2032

2032-2034

2034-2036

2036-2038

2038-2040

2040-2042

2042-2044

2048-2050

2026-2028

2028-2030

2050-2052

2052-2054

2054-2056

2024-2026

2056-2058

2058-2060

2060-2062

2062-2064

2064-2066

2066-2068

2068-2070

2070-2072

2072-2074

2074-2076

2076-2078

2078-2080

2080-2082

2082-2084

2084-2086

2086-2088

2088-2090

2090-2092

2092-2094

2094-2096

2096-2098

2098-2100

2100-2102

Will a cybertruck model still be produced ten years after Elon Musk stops working for Tesla.

Apr 1, 5:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.2%chance

580

OptionVotes

YES

207

158

Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Nov 15, 11:31 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

264

OptionProbability

Cheryl Venable

Paula Tkac

Other

Kartik Athreya

Board of Directors News

Prediction markets for Board of Directors

Prediction markets for Board of Directors

Prediction markets for Board of Directors

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

By when will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company?

Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030?

When will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company? [10 years bulk]

BART/Caltrain merger by 2028?

When will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company? [2 years bulk]

Will a cybertruck model still be produced ten years after Elon Musk stops working for Tesla.

Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

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