OptionVotes
YES
NO
2185
458
555
18
OptionProbability
He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.
He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.
Other
He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.
He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.
He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.
He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.
63
16
9
4
2
1
1615
620
Before 2027-01-01
Before 2026-09-01
Before 2025-11-01
Before 2025-12-01
Before 2026-01-01
Before 2026-03-01
Before 2026-06-01
17
6
0
Helena Foulkes
Dan McKee
87
13
7-2
8-1
9-0
6-3
5-4
32
26
10
8
