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Prediction markets for Board
This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.
Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69.19%chance
315655506
OptionVotes
2744
2381
Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.8%chance
6064289
OptionVotes
50335
1987
Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?
Feb 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
87.47%chance
188357
OptionVotes
944
888
OptionVotes
4660
215
Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?
Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
47.84%chance
125581
OptionVotes
10661
9352
Movie/TV show about Sam Altman's Firing from OpenAI / Battle of the Board, before 2027?
Jun 3, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
76%chance
232243
OptionVotes
1780
562
Will I still be running LW/EA board games nights weekly in April
Jan 30, 7:38 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM
69.18%chance
61692
OptionVotes
1498
667
Will Sam Altman join the board of a current S&P 500 company by 2028?
Jan 23, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
51.63%chance
211065
OptionVotes
1010
986
OptionVotes
1071
934
Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?
Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
45.42%chance
4200
OptionVotes
1096
912
When will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company? [10 years bulk]
Apr 2, 9:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6171
OptionProbability
29
23
19
14
5
4
3
2
2
Will "OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Dec 10, 3:29 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000