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Top stories

Fed Ends 2023 ‘Novel Activities’ Program, Easing Crypto Oversight for Banks

Fed Ends 2023 ‘Novel Activities’ Program, Easing Crypto Oversight for Banks

Authors

45

1 year ago

San Mateo County Opens 10-Day Hearing to Remove Sheriff Christina Corpus

San Mateo County Opens 10-Day Hearing to Remove Sheriff Christina Corpus

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Prediction markets for Board

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

324668330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2715

2447

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.62%chance

6273546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

45413

2202

Who will be the next chairman of the federal reserve board?

Apr 25, 11:04 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

3721912

OptionProbability

Kevin Warsh

Someone else

Kevin Hassett

Arthur Laffer

Larry Kudlow

Judy Shelton

99

1

0

0

0

0

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

Feb 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.47%chance

188357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

944

888

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

47.84%chance

125581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10661

9352

Movie/TV show about Sam Altman's Firing from OpenAI / Battle of the Board, before 2027?

Jun 3, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

83.1%chance

252796

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2218

451

Will Sam Altman join the board of a current S&P 500 company by 2028?

Jan 23, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.63%chance

211065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

986

"Board of Peace" established before 2027?

Sep 30, 8:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.11%chance

18892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

925

Will Gukesh be board 1 for India at Olympiad?

Jul 21, 5:49 PMSep 3, 11:59 PM

80.49%chance

13761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1270

923

Baron Trump be on Tiktok Board by EOY 2026?

Oct 13, 6:50 AMDec 2, 12:00 AM

13.68%chance

10497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

40

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.42%chance

4200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

Will "OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 10, 3:29 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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