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Prediction markets for Bolloré SE

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.33%chance

34462765805

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9920

9638

Will Trump finish his second term?

Dec 5, 9:25 PMJan 22, 5:59 AM

77.82%chance

572985107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101844

91375

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

1.23%chance

520799728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9341

126

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.91%chance

811504802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

58014

10529

Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Nov 12, 7:10 PMJan 19, 9:59 PM

20.64%chance

869484079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2301

733

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.47%chance

493409147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2991

2170

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

53.65%chance

317256965

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5083

5010

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

65.7%chance

7051445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139076

72591

Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?

Jan 13, 7:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.07%chance

13646186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12828

10231

Will the New England Patriots beat the Seattle Seahawks? 🏈 Super Bowl LX

Feb 10, 8:43 PMFeb 9, 4:59 AM

30.72%chance

10733238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30660

25045

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM

46.05%chance

5520863

OptionVotes

YES

NO

52857

45934

Will the Seahawks beat the Patriots in the 2026 Superbowl?

Jan 26, 2:52 AMFeb 9, 4:00 AM

68.84%chance

7218565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

27386

23825

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