Booking Holdings News

Is Kamala Harris' officially reported genealogy misleading?

Sep 27, 5:13 AMSep 27, 6:59 AM

607505

OptionProbability

YES, (at least previously) unknown to Kamala Harris

YES, intentional deception by Kamala Harris

Greenland changes and development multi market, all due June 30 2028

Jan 14, 9:47 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

254740

OptionProbability

GDP > 4b (3.85b in 2024) (for any year)

Cabinet level current us official visits greenland

Trump visits greenland

GDP > 5b (3.85b in 2024) (for any year)

Greenland has a positive annual migration rate (-4.9/1000 in 2024)

Us has another military base at least 500 personnel

Thule Air Force Base expands to over 3000 personnel at least part of the year, up from 600 now

Google trends for Greenland, judged at each January, never exceeds the search volume of Jan 2025, USA up to and including 2028

Greenland population is <80% ethnic greenlander (88% in 2025)

Greenland citizens receive money or other financial benefits from us gov

Chinese national population of Greenland exceeds 200

Greenland has a military

Greenland population falls below 40000

Greenland has 2 or more registered air flight carriers (1 in 2024)

20+ story building built

Military conflict over Greenland at least 5 casualties involving two+ conflicting powers

Greenland significantly changes its flag

Gains nuclear power station. Excluding military vessels. Portable is okay

Current Greenland political borders change so that another country has a piece of it

USD is the used currency

40+ story building built

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

44.78%chance

473044

OptionVotes

YES

984

961

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

YES

1010

851

Who will be the Trump political heir?

Jan 22, 4:37 AMApr 11, 3:59 AM

8812

OptionProbability

Other

Barron William Trump

Donald John Trump Jr.

Eric Frederick Trump

Tiffany Ariana Trump

Ivana Marie “Ivanka” Trump

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

4281

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

Previously unpublished Cormac McCarthy work released before 2028?

May 21, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.85%chance

7235

OptionVotes

YES

112

110

When will a cyberattack cause a major U.S. bank or brokerage to lose its records of customer assets?

Aug 11, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7159

OptionProbability

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2031

Before 2028

Before 2027

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2029?

Sep 16, 5:47 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

16.13%chance

893

OptionVotes

YES

103

Will Derek Thompson run for office by EOY 2030?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.49%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

151

Booking Holdings News

Prediction markets for Booking Holdings

Prediction markets for Booking Holdings

Prediction markets for Booking Holdings

Is Kamala Harris' officially reported genealogy misleading?

Greenland changes and development multi market, all due June 30 2028

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Who will be the Trump political heir?

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Previously unpublished Cormac McCarthy work released before 2028?

When will a cyberattack cause a major U.S. bank or brokerage to lose its records of customer assets?

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2029?

Will Derek Thompson run for office by EOY 2030?

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