Booking Holdings News

Is Kamala Harris' officially reported genealogy misleading?

Sep 27, 5:13 AMSep 27, 6:59 AM

607484

OptionProbability

YES, (at least previously) unknown to Kamala Harris

YES, intentional deception by Kamala Harris

Greenland changes and development multi market, all due June 30 2028

Jan 14, 9:47 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

244690

OptionProbability

GDP > 4b (3.85b in 2024) (for any year)

Cabinet level current us official visits greenland

Trump visits greenland

GDP > 5b (3.85b in 2024) (for any year)

Greenland has a positive annual migration rate (-4.9/1000 in 2024)

Us has another military base at least 500 personnel

Thule Air Force Base expands to over 3000 personnel at least part of the year, up from 600 now

Google trends for Greenland, judged at each January, never exceeds the search volume of Jan 2025, USA up to and including 2028

Greenland population is <80% ethnic greenlander (88% in 2025)

Greenland citizens receive money or other financial benefits from us gov

Greenland population falls below 40000

Chinese national population of Greenland exceeds 200

Greenland has 2 or more registered air flight carriers (1 in 2024)

Greenland has a military

20+ story building built

Greenland significantly changes its flag

Military conflict over Greenland at least 5 casualties involving two+ conflicting powers

Gains nuclear power station. Excluding military vessels. Portable is okay

Current Greenland political borders change so that another country has a piece of it

USD is the used currency

40+ story building built

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

44.21%chance

463034

OptionVotes

YES

996

951

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

YES

1010

851

Who will be the Trump political heir?

Jan 22, 4:37 AMApr 11, 3:59 AM

8812

OptionProbability

Other

Barron William Trump

Donald John Trump Jr.

Eric Frederick Trump

Tiffany Ariana Trump

Ivana Marie “Ivanka” Trump

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

4281

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

Previously unpublished Cormac McCarthy work released before 2028?

May 21, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.55%chance

7225

OptionVotes

YES

123

100

Will Derek Thompson run for office by EOY 2030?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.49%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

151

Booking Holdings News

Prediction markets for Booking Holdings

Prediction markets for Booking Holdings

Prediction markets for Booking Holdings

Is Kamala Harris' officially reported genealogy misleading?

Greenland changes and development multi market, all due June 30 2028

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Who will be the Trump political heir?

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Previously unpublished Cormac McCarthy work released before 2028?

Will Derek Thompson run for office by EOY 2030?

Latest stories