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Prediction markets for BOOM

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

Mar 8, 5:52 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

82.23%chance

185259

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2151

465

Will Boom Supersonic have their first commercial supersonic flight by the end of 2030?

Apr 19, 10:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.91%chance

325208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4678

1453

Will IPO count exceed 300 any year between 2024-2027? (AI boom?)

Apr 9, 6:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

69.58%chance

182728

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

937

Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?

Aug 12, 12:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15%chance

112295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)

Dec 9, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.79%chance

131939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

857

Doom or Boom? Human Population by 2100

Oct 25, 5:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

201013

OptionProbability

8b - 12b [Plateau]

12b - 15b [Steady Growth]

20b+ [Big Boom]

0 [Extinction]

6b - 8b [Small Decline]

15b - 20b [Boom]

1b - 6b [Big Decline]

1 - 1m [Return to Origins]

1m - 1b [Collapse]

73

9

5

3

3

3

2

1

1

Will Boom Overture fly (supersonic) before 2040?

Nov 15, 10:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

31.86%chance

10787

OptionVotes

YES

NO

383

92

By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight?

Feb 5, 2:15 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14587

OptionProbability

Boom Overture will not make a supersonic passenger-carrying flight

By end of 2036

By end of 2037

After end of 2040

By end of 2038

By end of 2039

By end of 2040

By end of 2033

By end of 2032

By end of 2034

By end of 2031

By end of 2035

By end of 2030

By end of 2029

By end of 2028

By end of 2025

By end of 2026

By end of 2027

80

55

51

50

45

45

45

31

30

26

25

22

12

11

2

1

1

1

The legal free-for-all that characterized the first few years of the AI boom will be definitively over in 2026

Jan 2, 7:40 AMJan 6, 7:59 AM

52.92%chance

6475

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1060

943

Will SpaceX deploy an in-house turbine generator to a data center before Boom Supersonic?

Sep 1, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.04%chance

377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

729

677

By 2040, there will be a growth boom in a developing country fueled by uncollateralized cryptocurrency loans.

Feb 12, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

82

Will the Singularity be marked with a new "baby boom"?

Jun 26, 10:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.64%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

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