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Australia Edges China 90-89 for Third Straight FIBA Asia Cup Title

4 months ago

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.34%chance

545085

OptionVotes

YES

1328

882

What will be true of the first Enhanced Games?

Feb 2, 5:10 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

574759

OptionProbability

It won’t happen by the end of 2025

The IOC and/or US Olympic committee will threaten participation bans against anyone participating in the Enhanced Games

Participants from 10 or more countries will enter the Games

It will run over budget

Athletes from the United States will win the most events

A woman will break a formal world record previously held by a man, for any amount of time

There will be a restriction on political speech by participants and/or their teams by the Games

Some enhancing substance or surgery will be banned by the Games (not just by law)

A country will ban or restrict participation in the Enhanced Games

Dana White will attend the Enhanced Games

A Fortune 100 company or brand will sponsor the Enhanced Games

Swimming, gymnastics, weightlifting, track and field, and combat will be the ONLY event categories

Watching the Games online will be officially free in the United States (with or without ads)

There will be a protest of 1000+ people outside of the of the event for at least 1 hour, on one day

It will turn a profit

A prominent financial backer will bail out of the project before the Games

A leg is lost (whatever that means)

50 or more formal world records will be broken

Participants from 25 or more countries will enter the Games

A nation's prime minister, president, monarch, or other world leader will attend the Enhanced Games

Someone will run the 100 meter dash faster than 9.58 seconds

Athletes from Russia will win the most events

Athletes from China will win the most events

10 or more formal world records will be broken

An athlete will become paralyzed, braindead, or otherwise severely disabled (but not killed) during training or competition for the Games

It will be a culture war adjacent topic

Someone will die while competing, or up to 24 hours after competing

Athletes from India will win the most events

The Enhanced Games will start and finish before the end of Q3 2025

Politically left people will be more likely to support it

Will the term "the N-word" itself be considered obscene before 2036?

Nov 6, 8:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

10.68%chance

311038

OptionVotes

YES

1351

929

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

1259

922

Which generation will the first human to walk on Mars be?

Sep 17, 9:14 PMDec 31, 10:10 PM

12416

OptionProbability

Generation Z (born from 1997 to 2012)

Generation Alpha or younger (born since 2013)

Millennial (born from 1981 to 1996)

Generation X (born from 1965 to 1980)

Silent Generation or older (born until 1945)

Baby Boomer (born from 1946 to 1964)

When will the first Gen Z president be elected.

Jun 27, 6:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

6162

OptionProbability

2050s

2060s

2040s

2030s

2020s

Will Gen Z consider Apple's Genmoji to be "boomer cringe"?

Jun 11, 3:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.27%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

116

Will Jose Luis Ricon become boomer?

Sep 20, 5:23 PMSep 28, 3:59 AM

45.39%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

What will be true of the first Enhanced Games?

Will the term "the N-word" itself be considered obscene before 2036?

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Which generation will the first human to walk on Mars be?

When will the first Gen Z president be elected.

Will Gen Z consider Apple's Genmoji to be "boomer cringe"?

Will Jose Luis Ricon become boomer?

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