BOOT News

Will the US put boots on the ground in Iran in 2026?

Mar 4, 3:17 AMJan 1, 3:16 AM

61.89%chance

720133445

OptionVotes

YES

1210

840

Can the Macbook Neo boot unsigned payloads?

Mar 4, 3:34 PMApr 3, 2:28 PM

94.24%chance

367256

OptionVotes

YES

4045

247

Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?

Mar 8, 5:18 PMDec 31, 5:13 PM

182931

OptionProbability

Before 2027

Before June 2026

Before May 2026

Before April 2026

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

Mar 16, 5:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

52.21%chance

141650

OptionVotes

YES

2226

1618

⚽ Premier League Golden Boot 2025/2026 (top scorer)

Jul 23, 9:12 PMMay 16, 11:59 PM

241512

OptionProbability

Erling Haaland

Other

Viktor Gyökeres

Joao Pedro

Antoine Semenyo

Mohamed Salah

Alexander Isak

Hugo Ekitike

Cole Palmer

Estevao

🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?

Jun 25, 3:37 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

73.7%chance

251072

OptionVotes

YES

167

More manas (boot camp stock)

Jul 12, 11:47 AMDec 31, 12:59 AM

4757

OptionProbability

Go LONG

Go SHORT

Will President Trump put "boots on the ground" in Iran before July 4, 2026?

Mar 15, 7:48 PMJul 3, 11:59 PM

63.17%chance

30569

OptionVotes

YES

131

Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?

Nov 26, 6:21 AMDec 16, 7:59 AM

6431

OptionProbability

>= 6.85" display

>= 8x optical zoom

a Thunderbolt 4 or USB4 port

>= 3 high-performance cores

>= 130% mAh battery of next-tier iPhone

greater optical zoom than next-tier iPhone

more high-performance cores than next-tier iPhone

Special LLM capabilities (e.g. extra cache for LLM weights near a Neural Engine)

2 TB storage option

>= 1.5x RAM of next-tier iPhone

>= 12 GB RAM

>= 1.5x transistors of next-tier iPhone

No physical buttons https://www.macrumors.com/2025/10/28/20th-anniversary-iphone-solid-state-buttons/

officially supports a desktop-like experience when used with external displays (~same web app experience as MacOS Safari)

a Thunderbolt 3 port

a Quantum Random Number Generator (QRNG) chip

special LLM capabilities beyond next-tier iPhone. Just 2x inference volume wouldn't count.

split-screen multi-tasking

more external buttons than next-tier iPhone

>= 2 USB-C ports

Touch ID

officially supports dual-booting MacOS

2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ Golden Boot (top scorer)

Oct 15, 2:18 AMJul 19, 11:59 PM

6360

OptionProbability

Other

Kylian Mbappe

Harry Kane

Erling Haaland

Man United score fewer goals than Golden Boot winner's combined goals+assists this Premier League season?

Sep 10, 6:12 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

16.9%chance

4290

OptionVotes

YES

222

Will the U.S. Department of Defense officially confirm the deployment of more than 1,000 conventional 'boots on the grou

Mar 16, 1:23 AMJun 16, 1:23 AM

30.8%chance

497

OptionVotes

YES

150

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Prediction markets for BOOT

Prediction markets for BOOT

Prediction markets for BOOT

Will the US put boots on the ground in Iran in 2026?

Can the Macbook Neo boot unsigned payloads?

Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

⚽ Premier League Golden Boot 2025/2026 (top scorer)

🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?

More manas (boot camp stock)

Will President Trump put "boots on the ground" in Iran before July 4, 2026?

Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?

2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ Golden Boot (top scorer)

Man United score fewer goals than Golden Boot winner's combined goals+assists this Premier League season?

Will the U.S. Department of Defense officially confirm the deployment of more than 1,000 conventional 'boots on the grou

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