OptionProbability
Before 2030
Before 2029
Before 2028
Before 2027
Before 2026
Before 2025
74
66
58
23
5
0
2029 or later / Never
2026
2025
2027
2028
2024
35
18
14
12
9
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1180
894
Microsoft/OpenAI
Google (Alphabet)
Amazon/Anthropic
Other
[A Chinese Company]
Meta
Inflection AI
Tesla
IBM
Boston Dynamics (Hyundai)
19
16
10
8
7
6
4
2
Tesla-Optimus
Digit- Agility Robotics
Boston Dynamics - Atlas
Figure AI - Figure 01
41
33
21
Tesla-Boston Dynamics-Sanctuary-LimX
Figure-Agility-Apptronik-Agibot
Unitree-UBTech-1X-MagicLab
Fourier-Kepler-Xiaomi-Xpeng
60
28
Figure
Open AI
XPeng Robotics
Unitree
Mentee
Galbot
X1
Boston Dynamics
Samsung
LG
Honda
Xiaomi
Amazon
Agility Robotics
25
11
3
1