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Prediction markets for Box to Box Films

Which movies will earn more than $250M at the 2026 US Box Office?

Feb 18, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

284526

OptionProbability

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Project Hail Mary

Minions & Monsters (Minions 3)

Spiderman Brand New Day

Toy Story 5

The Mandalorian and Grogu

The Odyssey

Moana (live action)

Michael

Dune: Messiah

Avengers: Doomsday

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

Supergirl

Disclosure Day

Jumanji Open World

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Hexed

Hoppers

100

100

93

92

92

86

81

80

79

73

72

64

50

40

36

25

22

1

Will I get to "Feel the AGI" on the big screen before 2033?

Feb 14, 5:54 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.86%chance

312819

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

338

will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026}

Feb 3, 7:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.15%chance

122544

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2823

354

The Moana-Off: Which Moana will make the most dough-ana? 🎥🌊👧

Feb 16, 2:26 PMAug 9, 6:59 AM

141616

OptionProbability

Moana 2 (2024)

Moana: Live Action (2025)

Moana (2016)

85

13

1

What will the next Bond film make at the box office?

Feb 3, 9:13 AMMay 6, 11:59 AM

151542

OptionProbability

100 million

300 million

More than Casino Royale (2006) [$606M]

50 Million opening weekend (at the 3day domestic box office)

500 million

150 Million domestically

800 million

1 billion

2 billion

98

97

79

75

70

62

36

17

7

Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?

Aug 1, 4:44 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

16.29%chance

301318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1444

853

What will The 2026 Michael Jackson Biopic Domestic Opening Weekend Be? (Millions) 🎥🍿🎬🎤🎶

Apr 24, 5:00 PMMay 9, 11:59 PM

51254

OptionProbability

Above 40

Above 50

Above 60

Above 70

Above 80

99

99

99

99

99

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?

Mar 10, 2:33 PMMar 3, 1:29 PM

37.69%chance

21817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

282

238

Hollywood American Revolution film box office top 10 by July 4, 2076?

Jul 30, 8:39 AMJul 4, 10:59 PM

27.2%chance

11181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will any movie released in 2026 gross over $2 billion worldwide?

Dec 13, 9:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.08%chance

10127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

When will a third Top Gun movie be released?

Oct 21, 6:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

468

OptionProbability

2031

2028

2029

2030

Other

2032

2033

23

14

14

14

14

12

8

Will "Mamma Mia! 3" be released by the end of 2028?

Jan 21, 4:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.78%chance

450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

79

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