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Top stories

Yvette Cooper Defends Palestine Action Terror Ban Amid Passport Revocation Call, Court Complaint, Hamas Accusation, Israel-BP Meeting

Yvette Cooper Defends Palestine Action Terror Ban Amid Passport Revocation Call, Court Complaint, Hamas Accusation, Israel-BP Meeting

Authors

6

10 months ago

Flooding Shuts Several Units at BP’s 440,000-Barrel Whiting Refinery

Natural Disasters

Flooding Shuts Several Units at BP’s 440,000-Barrel Whiting Refinery

Authors

10

10 months ago

Company Earnings

Santos Extends Exclusivity to Sept 19 for $18.7 Billion ADNOC-Led Takeover Amid 22.3% Profit Drop and Earnings Beat

Authors

9

10 months ago

Prediction markets for BP

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

41.49%chance

355985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1315

990

Companies Acquired in 2026?

Jan 29, 9:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

185088

OptionProbability

Pizza Hut

Viking Therapeutics

GitLab

Lovable

Ubisoft

Zoom Video Communications

Snapchat

Nebius Group

Perplexity AI

BP

Anthropic

OpenAI

100

48

20

17

14

13

10

10

8

4

3

3

Will BP returned to Israel after two years in exile?

Dec 17, 11:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.96%chance

41155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

717

Will we be able to solve all NP problems in polynomial time by 2200? (any practical computation method, e.g. BPP, BQP)

Nov 25, 2:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.41%chance

15909

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1179

955

Does P = BPP?

Nov 18, 6:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

91.11%chance

9856

OptionVotes

NO

YES

375

97

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 18, 12:02 AMJul 29, 6:25 PM

1.92%chance

7679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

779

19

Will Chechnya's ban on music that is not 80 to 116 beats per minute (BPM) be revoked within 5 years?

Apr 9, 4:00 PMApr 17, 3:59 AM

70.76%chance

18653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

858

Does BPP = BQP?

Nov 18, 6:39 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.81%chance

9329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

118

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 17, 10:04 PMSep 16, 6:25 PM

10.4%chance

4193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

42

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 18, 12:01 PMOct 28, 6:25 PM

22.13%chance

479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

62

Conditional on a winning bid, will BP complete the mona Morgan windfarm within ten years?

Aug 24, 12:42 PMAug 24, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will Chelsea Voss exceed 10 BPS on augmentaltech's BCI?

Mar 18, 6:54 PM

10

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