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Top stories

Yvette Cooper Defends Palestine Action Terror Ban Amid Passport Revocation Call, Court Complaint, Hamas Accusation, Israel-BP Meeting

Yvette Cooper Defends Palestine Action Terror Ban Amid Passport Revocation Call, Court Complaint, Hamas Accusation, Israel-BP Meeting

Authors

6

7 months ago

Flooding Shuts Several Units at BP’s 440,000-Barrel Whiting Refinery

Natural Disasters

Flooding Shuts Several Units at BP’s 440,000-Barrel Whiting Refinery

Authors

10

7 months ago

Company Earnings

Santos Extends Exclusivity to Sept 19 for $18.7 Billion ADNOC-Led Takeover Amid 22.3% Profit Drop and Earnings Beat

Authors

9

7 months ago

Prediction markets for BP

How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Nov 1, 8:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

177724

OptionProbability

1 cut (Target 3.25-3.50)

0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)

2 cuts (Target 3.00-3.25)

3 cuts (Target 2.75-3.00)

Other

4 cuts (Target 2.50-2.75)

28

24

21

12

10

5

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

50.75%chance

333387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

1085

Companies Acquired in 2026?

Jan 29, 9:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93118

OptionProbability

Pizza Hut

Perplexity AI

Viking Therapeutics

GitLab

Ubisoft

Lovable

Zoom Video Communications

Anthropic

Snapchat

Nebius Group

BP

OpenAI

50

38

28

25

21

20

14

10

10

10

6

5

Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?

Feb 12, 2:02 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

10.47%chance

51925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2925

342

Will BP returned to Israel after two years in exile?

Dec 17, 11:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.96%chance

41155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

717

Will we be able to solve all NP problems in polynomial time by 2200? (any practical computation method, e.g. BPP, BQP)

Nov 25, 2:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.41%chance

15909

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1179

955

Does P = BPP?

Nov 18, 6:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

91.11%chance

9856

OptionVotes

NO

YES

375

97

Will Chechnya's ban on music that is not 80 to 116 beats per minute (BPM) be revoked within 5 years?

Apr 9, 4:00 PMApr 17, 3:59 AM

78.33%chance

17553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

913

Does BPP = BQP?

Nov 18, 6:39 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.81%chance

9329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

118

Conditional on a winning bid, will BP complete the mona Morgan windfarm within ten years?

Aug 24, 12:42 PMAug 24, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will Chelsea Voss exceed 10 BPS on augmentaltech's BCI?

Mar 18, 6:54 PM

10

Solve these equations for a simpler linked multiple choice mechanism

Apr 20, 1:27 AM

00

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