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Top stories

Yvette Cooper Defends Palestine Action Terror Ban Amid Passport Revocation Call, Court Complaint, Hamas Accusation, Israel-BP Meeting

Yvette Cooper Defends Palestine Action Terror Ban Amid Passport Revocation Call, Court Complaint, Hamas Accusation, Israel-BP Meeting

Authors

6

4 months ago

Flooding Shuts Several Units at BP’s 440,000-Barrel Whiting Refinery

Natural Disasters

Flooding Shuts Several Units at BP’s 440,000-Barrel Whiting Refinery

Authors

10

4 months ago

Company Earnings

Santos Extends Exclusivity to Sept 19 for $18.7 Billion ADNOC-Led Takeover Amid 22.3% Profit Drop and Earnings Beat

Authors

9

3 months ago

Prediction markets for BP

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

60.27%chance

282217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1381

858

FDA/WHOOP Warning Letter - Will the FDA force Whoop to suspend BP Insights features (until 510k clearance is granted)?

Aug 19, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:27 PM

42.14%chance

91206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

853

Will we be able to solve all NP problems in polynomial time by 2200? (any practical computation method, e.g. BPP, BQP)

Nov 25, 2:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.41%chance

15909

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1179

955

Will BP returned to Israel after two years in exile?

Dec 17, 11:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

44.93%chance

4889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

903

Does P = BPP?

Nov 18, 6:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

91.11%chance

9856

OptionVotes

NO

YES

375

97

Will Chechnya's ban on music that is not 80 to 116 beats per minute (BPM) be revoked within 5 years?

Apr 9, 4:00 PMApr 17, 3:59 AM

78.33%chance

17553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

913

How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Nov 1, 8:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6518

OptionProbability

2 cuts

3 cuts

1 cut

4 cuts

Other

0 cuts

23

21

17

16

12

11

Does BPP = BQP?

Nov 18, 6:39 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.81%chance

9329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

118

If I try BPC157 will I regret it?

Jun 30, 8:44 AMDec 31, 7:22 AM

39.49%chance

238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

81

Conditional on a winning bid, will BP complete the mona Morgan windfarm within ten years?

Aug 24, 12:42 PMAug 24, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Solve these equations for a simpler linked multiple choice mechanism

Apr 20, 1:27 AM

00

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