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Top stories

Ex-Priest Chris Brain Convicted of 17 Assaults on Congregants

Ex-Priest Chris Brain Convicted of 17 Assaults on Congregants

Authors

15

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Brain

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.37%chance

26533167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3059

2057

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

40.59%chance

24619183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2734

1697

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36.13%chance

11518640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15117

7622

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.28%chance

8111222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

1334

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Oct 20, 1:36 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM

33.32%chance

177377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2045

552

Will brain death be reversible by 2070?

Dec 14, 11:29 PMJan 1, 3:00 AM

43.13%chance

1397306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1698

811

Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).

Mar 2, 7:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29%chance

716082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

1090

Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100?

Jul 27, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.77%chance

504373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1342

779

Will there be a full brain scan of any mammal by 2030?

Jul 28, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.19%chance

17537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

920

Will a $1k non-invasive brain interface handle 100 commands before 2027?

Feb 9, 2:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30%chance

13209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

966

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

May 19, 7:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

43.89%chance

3135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

884

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <1000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

May 19, 7:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.13%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

963

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