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Top stories

Ex-Priest Chris Brain Convicted of 17 Assaults on Congregants

Ex-Priest Chris Brain Convicted of 17 Assaults on Congregants

Authors

15

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Brain

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.86%chance

26733230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3003

2075

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

40%chance

24919563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2714

1726

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36.12%chance

12219298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15119

7621

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Oct 20, 1:36 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM

12%chance

2211616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3226

238

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.12%chance

8211323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1433

1170

Will brain death be reversible by 2070?

Dec 14, 11:29 PMJan 1, 3:00 AM

46.28%chance

1397375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1617

877

Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).

Mar 2, 7:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35%chance

726211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1195

1106

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

325752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1335

751

Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100?

Jul 27, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.39%chance

524483

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1330

786

Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?

Apr 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.89%chance

29694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2157

1925

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

May 19, 7:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

43.89%chance

3135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

884

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <1000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

May 19, 7:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.13%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

963

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