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Prediction markets for Branch Office
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
8.77%chance
793414172
OptionVotes
14104
2043
[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?
Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2545572
OptionProbability
31
30
20
8
4
3
1
1
1
1
If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?
Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM
15.73%chance
16740693
OptionVotes
24642
5236
US government uses live ammunition on protestors before end of presidential term?
Jun 10, 1:45 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM
30.83%chance
8013373
OptionVotes
1498
668
OptionProbability
82
17
1
0
0
0
Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Jan 8, 12:09 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
8%chance
544148
OptionVotes
339
29
Will Donald Trump retain power after his second term?
Jan 23, 6:07 AMJan 23, 4:59 AM
1.67%chance
252212
OptionVotes
767
13
OptionVotes
444
44
Will a US Governor, Senator, President, or VP be in a open polyamourous relationship without scandal by the end of 2039?
Sep 19, 11:29 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
25.68%chance
20793
OptionVotes
1159
928
When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?
Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM
3175
OptionProbability
27
18
18
18
18