OptionVotes
YES
NO
2124
894
OptionProbability
People spending large amounts of time in VR hardware (100+ million hours per week in the US)
Fully driverless cars are >=1% of miles driven in the US
Major armed conflict between world powers breaks out (World War 3)
Encountering a humanoid robot in public and not being surprised
Revolutionary breakthrough in fusion energy
Any government in the world (local, regional, national) is run by an AI system
Global digital currency replaces traditional banking systems
Space tourism/travel becomes commercially viable for middle class
28
25
21
19
16
15
7
6
Find a room temperature superconductor, highly efficient photovoltaic cells, or an ultra-strong lightweight material
Find a cure for cancer, Alzheimer's or Diabetis
29
23
1162
800
169
59
Geopolitics
Technology
Economy
Medical/Healthcare
Fundamental research
Environment and sustainability
Art and culture
Society
Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid
Space Exploration
Human Rights
76
75
74
50
34
