OptionProbability
Darwin (FPV drone operator with 92nd Brigade of AFU)
Javier Milei
Elon Musk
Elton John
Kanye West
Donald Trump
Xi Jinping
Vladimir Putin
Joe Biden
100
13
7
6
4
3
US/Israeli announce Iran navy annihilated. All surface ships bigger than 10 tons. Small subs also not counted
Regular opposition broadcasts hacking Iran TV 3 more times. Like the State TV/IRIB satellite hack.
A brigade or base commander in any city switches sides
Interim council fractures, or all current dead or one member defects publicly
One or more Town(s), city(s), declare as free of iran regime control for over 2 days
High Profile flips - 2+ named officers go on video via Starlink calling on units to stand down or defect.
66
31
27
24
17
Not on NATO area/Not at all
Estonia
Lithuania
Other
Latvia
Finland
Alaska
70
11
5
iO
Second City
UCB
None, these will be the first-ever private equity acquisitions to thrive
32
