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Prediction markets for Britain

Will Restore Britain win the most seats at the next UK general election?

Feb 15, 9:25 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

4.96%chance

2118144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3502

731

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Aug 5, 10:47 AMDec 30, 4:59 PM

10.12%chance

394786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3060

345

Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?

Feb 15, 4:08 PMAug 15, 11:59 PM

73.49%chance

314014

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1665

601

Britain net migration < 25,000 for 2026

Jan 7, 12:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.26%chance

113525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2958

338

Will the USA "liberate the people of Britain from their tyrannical government" before the next US presidential election?

Jan 6, 9:00 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

1.09%chance

101095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

950

11

Will a crossing of the Irish Sea, between Great Britain and Ireland, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:49 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

7.42%chance

141075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

883

Will Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?

Apr 8, 10:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.4%chance

31780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

958

Will Britain still use FPTP voting (and no other voting mechanisms) for picking MPs in 2040?

Jan 28, 6:53 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

44%chance

14371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

134

Will Universal Studios Great Britain open before 2030?

Feb 5, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.87%chance

5220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

369

112

Which of these franchises will be present at Universal Studios Great Britain at opening?

Apr 10, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4122

OptionProbability

James Bond

Lord of the Rings

Back to the Future

Paddington

Harry Potter

52

50

50

50

44

Will a middle spotted woodpecker be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

53.52%chance

8103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

144

Will a pygmy cormorant be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

49.17%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

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