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Prediction markets for British Parliament

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Jul 10, 9:36 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

3310615

OptionProbability

2029

Other

2026

2027

2028

2025

2030

2024

41

19

11

11

10

4

3

0

Will Elon Musk testify before the British Parliament before 2026?

Nov 21, 1:19 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5.88%chance

7337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

400

25

Will Liz Truss run for MP again before / during the next UK General Election?

Aug 16, 1:57 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

11.03%chance

7235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Will Ed Balls stand for election as an MP before 2030?

Jul 3, 5:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.25%chance

359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Which of Trudeau's policies will be reversed?

Feb 4, 6:13 AMSep 20, 10:59 PM

558

OptionProbability

Mass immigration

Drug decriminalization

Gun ban

Marijuana legalization

50

48

27

16

UK abolishes birthright citizenship for children of non-settled parents before EOY2030?

Jul 22, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.79%chance

354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Rupert Lowe still UK MP after 2029 general election?

Jul 11, 9:34 PMAug 14, 11:59 PM

43.19%chance

329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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