OptionVotes
YES
NO
943
752
OptionProbability
At least one victim dies
A member of a federal intelligence organization asks for the public to submit tips
Shooter a current/former Brown student
Shooter motivated by antisemitic or anti-Israel sentiment
At least one victim specifically targeted
Is a resident of Rhode Island
Shooter is a muslim
Trump uses this shooting to crack down on immigrants, crime, or “the left”
Shooter is a white male
Shooter had right-wing politics
Shooter has a manifesto
Shooter is not motivated by politics
At least 3 students killed
Shooter had left-wing politics
Shooter a current or former Brown employee
The shooter is classified as an nihilistic violent extremist
Shooter dies prior to capture
Shooter motivated by HR grievance against Brown (eg layoff)
Shooting was a targeted attack on Ella Cook.
Shooting was a targeted attack on the Uzbek victim.
At least one other perpetrator/conspirator involved
Is caught/killed (according to officials) by 12/16
Shooter used an assault weapon
At least 10 people killed
At least 20 people killed
Shooting is the deadliest of 2025
99
93
68
65
62
57
56
50
46
44
43
42
30
26
22
21
17
15
13
9
3
2
1
1600
625
120
84
111
90
122
82
