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Prediction markets for Bubble

When will the AI bubble pop?

Sep 30, 4:23 PMJan 1, 5:19 PM

7520059

OptionProbability

No AI bubble.

2027

2026

2030-2035

2028

2029

2025

35

19

13

13

12

8

0

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

May 22, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75%chance

8918675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1642

635

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

4710036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1884

531

AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?

Nov 15, 5:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

446767

OptionProbability

Oracle

Palantir

Nebius

Meta

AMD

Microsoft

Nvidia

Alphabet (Google)

79

45

41

17

15

11

10

7

[Granular] When Will the AI Bubble Pop?

Oct 16, 9:50 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

326314

OptionProbability

Other

2026 [Jul-Sep]

2026 [Oct-Dec]

2027 [Jan-Mar]

2026 [Jan-Mar]

2026 [Apr-Jun]

2025 [Oct-Dec]

72

6

6

6

5

5

1

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.98%chance

496030

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3098

2592

Is Nvidia a bubble? (Fixed version)

Mar 8, 7:30 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

12.86%chance

245164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1737

817

Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression?

Nov 19, 12:05 AMJan 1, 11:56 PM

44%chance

334198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?

Jun 20, 4:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

55%chance

271820

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1106

905

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13948

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

Crypto

U.S. Real Estate

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Oil and fossil fuels

Space exploration

Other G7 Real Estate

Nuclear energy

India

Mexico

China

Ukraine

Russia

Superconductors

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

EVs and batteries

United States

Japan

Europe

South America

Southeast Asia

Carbon capture

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

Everything bubble

51

12

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the Taleyarkhan bubble fusion result replicate by 2044?

Feb 25, 10:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.75%chance

19726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

952

Will there still be a bubble tea shop in NY Penn Station at the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 5:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70%chance

770

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

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