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Prediction markets for Bubble

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.47%chance

349106246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2102

476

When will the AI bubble pop?

Sep 30, 4:23 PMJan 1, 5:19 PM

8321220

OptionProbability

No AI bubble.

2026

2030-2035

2027

2029

2028

2025

29

19

17

15

15

6

0

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

May 22, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65%chance

9118925

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1269

793

AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?

Nov 15, 5:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

578502

OptionProbability

Oracle

Palantir

AMD

Meta

Nebius

Microsoft

Nvidia

Alphabet (Google)

75

32

27

26

23

18

17

14

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.3%chance

587229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3171

2564

Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028

Jul 8, 3:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

325738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Is Nvidia a bubble? (Fixed version)

Mar 8, 7:30 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

12.86%chance

245164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1737

817

Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression?

Nov 19, 12:05 AMJan 1, 11:56 PM

43%chance

344268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.7%chance

292163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1286

778

Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?

Jun 20, 4:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44%chance

292060

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

131015

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

Crypto

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Space exploration

U.S. Real Estate

Other G7 Real Estate

Nuclear energy

India

Mexico

China

Ukraine

Russia

Superconductors

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

EVs and batteries

United States

Japan

Europe

South America

Southeast Asia

Oil and fossil fuels

Carbon capture

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

Everything bubble

50

15

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the Taleyarkhan bubble fusion result replicate by 2044?

Feb 25, 10:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.75%chance

19726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

952

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