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Prediction markets for Bubble

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.46%chance

405138836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3291

304

AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?

Nov 15, 5:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15336439

OptionProbability

Oracle

C3 ai

CoreWeave

MU (Micron Technology Inc)

Cerebras

Nebius

SAP

Palantir

SK Hynix Inc (KRX: 000660)

INTC Intel Corp

SpaceX

Samsung (KRX: 005930)

MU Micron Technology Inc

IBM

CXMT (SSE:688825)

Meta

AMD

Broadcom

Microsoft

Nvidia

Alphabet (Google)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co)

100

100

100

50

41

34

34

26

25

24

24

23

22

20

20

14

14

10

9

9

6

5

When will the AI bubble pop?

Sep 30, 4:23 PMJan 1, 5:19 PM

9329837

OptionProbability

No AI bubble.

2030-2035

2027

2028

2029

2026

2025

24

21

19

15

13

8

0

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

May 22, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.15%chance

10421777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1336

759

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.06%chance

8213590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5293

2022

Is Nvidia a bubble? (Fixed version)

Mar 8, 7:30 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

12.86%chance

245164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1737

817

Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression?

Nov 19, 12:05 AMJan 1, 11:56 PM

43%chance

375007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.37%chance

404076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1551

645

Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?

Jun 20, 4:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.12%chance

363426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1992

502

Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030?

Aug 7, 3:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.27%chance

82028

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2040

910

Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49%chance

6887

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1423

1370

Will the Taleyarkhan bubble fusion result replicate by 2044?

Feb 25, 10:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.75%chance

19726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

952

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