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Prediction markets for Bund

Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 10:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42%chance

6514579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1176

851

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.21%chance

4411685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2274

440

Will Bayern Munich win the 2026/2027 Bundesliga season

May 31, 11:33 AMMay 22, 4:00 PM

88%chance

146163

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2364

655

Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030?

May 31, 11:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

64.24%chance

212171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1340

746

Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak

May 19, 9:46 AMApr 29, 10:59 PM

111462

OptionProbability

Any EU country

South Sudan

Tanzania

Central African Republic

Rwanda

Zambia

Angola

Republic of the Congo

USA

India

Burundi

China

100

54

45

42

39

33

25

21

21

21

18

12

Which teams will be promoted to the Bundesliga from the 2026–27 2. Bundesliga?

May 31, 12:32 PMJun 1, 9:00 PM

3666

OptionProbability

Hertha BSC

VfL Wolfsburg

Any Other

FC St. Pauli

1. FC Heidenheim

Hannover 96

73

68

49

14

14

13

Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election?

Apr 13, 2:28 PMMar 5, 7:59 AM

10.48%chance

11467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

34

How many Bundibugyo ebolavirus deaths by the end of 2026?

Aug 18, 10:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8364

OptionProbability

5000-7500

7500-10,000

10,000-12,500

<5000

12,500-15,000

Other

61

27

3

3

3

3

How many confirmed Ebola (Bundibugyo virus disease) cases will be reported in the DRC by 31 December 2026?

Oct 3, 8:10 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

5292

OptionProbability

10,000 - 11,999

12,000 - 14,999

15,000 or more

Fewer than 9,000

9,000 - 9,999

28

28

28

5

5

How many points will the Bundesliga 2026/27 champion finish with?

Jul 3, 11:28 AMJul 3, 9:59 PM

3126

OptionProbability

83 - 86

Above 86

79 - 82

75 - 78

71 - 74

Below 71

27

23

18

15

10

7

Will there be a >7 team tournament between MLS and Serie A or MLS and Bundesliga by 2030?

Aug 5, 3:20 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

22.8%chance

242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

47

Will Heye Groß win the Verdienstorden der Bundesrepublik Deutschland by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 6:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.23%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

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