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Prediction markets for Bund

Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 10:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.16%chance

436743

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

769

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.7%chance

336610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2318

431

Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?

Mar 6, 11:53 AMMar 25, 9:59 PM

60.58%chance

342453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

239

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

Oct 22, 9:09 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18%chance

112285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030?

May 31, 11:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.76%chance

201911

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1721

581

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

Apr 23, 4:55 PMApr 20, 4:51 PM

28.46%chance

7637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election?

Apr 13, 2:28 PMMar 5, 7:59 AM

5.45%chance

9449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

416

24

Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak

May 19, 9:46 AMJul 30, 11:59 PM

8409

OptionProbability

Rwanda

Burundi

Republic of the Congo

Central African Republic

Any EU country

South Sudan

Tanzania

Zambia

Angola

India

USA

China

55

55

54

51

51

41

41

41

41

37

25

25

Will Bayern Munich win the 2026/2027 Bundesliga season

May 31, 11:33 AMMay 22, 4:00 PM

74.68%chance

6356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1284

884

If the AfD enters the federal government after the next Bundestag election, will §86a StGB be repealed or altered?

Jan 20, 8:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.35%chance

3116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Which teams will be promoted to the Bundesliga from the 2026–27 2. Bundesliga?

May 31, 12:32 PMJun 1, 9:00 PM

181

OptionProbability

VfL Wolfsburg

Any Other

Hannover 96

Hertha BSC

FC St. Pauli

1. FC Heidenheim

49

48

34

34

28

26

Will there be a >7 team tournament between MLS and Serie A or MLS and Bundesliga by 2030?

Aug 5, 3:20 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

22.8%chance

242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

47

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