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Prediction markets for CAB

Will at least 50% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Nov 6, 8:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.78%chance

16827560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

877

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

8.09%chance

2426356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33707

2967

Major internet outage due to undersea cables breaking by end of 2026?

Aug 3, 12:14 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

36.63%chance

5622347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5924

1640

Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?

Jun 2, 7:42 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

23.81%chance

557166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1789

559

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

153650

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

53

28

8

7

4

If Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?

Mar 13, 6:06 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM

15.3%chance

142273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2824

432

Will at least 33% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Nov 6, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.04%chance

262106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

834

Will the record for largest cabbage be broken before 2027?

Aug 30, 4:28 PMJan 7, 6:59 AM

9.74%chance

181978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2771

176

Will any current or former US President or member of the Cabinet identify as a furry by 2039?

Mar 31, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.46%chance

151381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2559

1062

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump Cabinet this year?

Feb 3, 6:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48%chance

141294

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1270

547

Will any member of Trump's cabinet be convicted of a war crime by end 2040?

Dec 10, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.58%chance

6672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1449

911

Will Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?

Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

50.69%chance

3431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

986

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