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Prediction markets for CAB

Will at least 50% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Nov 6, 8:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.42%chance

16827199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1232

838

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

10.84%chance

2221326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

28677

3487

Will there be a direct Morrocco-UK power cable operating by end of 2035?

Aug 23, 10:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.94%chance

285300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2062

206

Major internet outage due to undersea cables breaking by end of 2026?

Aug 3, 12:14 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

72.95%chance

303744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4646

3597

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

143600

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

52

28

8

7

4

Will a member of the Trump cabinet be appointed through a recess appointment in 2025?

Nov 14, 3:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.09%chance

133562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2577

388

If Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?

Mar 13, 6:06 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM

14.13%chance

132073

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2947

411

Will at least 33% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Nov 6, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.59%chance

241881

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1266

866

Will any current or former US President or member of the Cabinet identify as a furry by 2039?

Mar 31, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.46%chance

151381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2559

1062

Will the record for largest cabbage be broken before 2027?

Aug 30, 4:28 PMJan 7, 6:59 AM

17.09%chance

161377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2180

265

Will any member of Trump's cabinet be convicted of a war crime by end 2040?

Dec 10, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.02%chance

5630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1407

918

Will Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?

Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

50.69%chance

3431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

986

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