OptionProbability
Valtteri Bottas
Sergio Perez
Colton Herta
Franco Colapinto
Kevin Magnussen
Paul Aron
Yuki Tsunoda
Liam Lawson
Daniel Ricciardo
George Russell
Logan Sargeant
84
83
19
17
16
15
14
6
3
Andretti joins in 2026
Andretti joins in 2025 without litigation
Andretti joins in 2025 after litigation
Andretti doesn't join F1 by 2026
99
1
0
Zhou Guanyu
Jak Crawford
Pato O'Ward
Felipe Drugovich
Mick Schumacher
88
82
28
27
24
22
Mercedes
Aston Martin
He'll leave F1 without driving for another team
Audi/Sauber
Ferrari
McLaren
Racing Bulls
Alpine
Haas
Williams
Cadillac
Other
37
21
8
2
