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Top stories

Swalwell’s ‘Bury Them’ Remark Triggers GOP Push for Censure

US Domestic Policy

Swalwell’s ‘Bury Them’ Remark Triggers GOP Push for Censure

Authors

10

9 months ago

Schiff Opens Legal Fund as DOJ Probes Alleged Mortgage Fraud

Schiff Opens Legal Fund as DOJ Probes Alleged Mortgage Fraud

Authors

29

9 months ago

Prediction markets for California Democrat

California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?

Nov 14, 7:36 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM

96.31%chance

4613282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5109

196

Will both general election candidates in the race for the governor of California be Republicans?

Apr 7, 8:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

6.47%chance

96461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3802

263

Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election?

Oct 22, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.82%chance

155261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1637

611

Dems lose California or New York by 2028?

Nov 9, 8:08 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

4.09%chance

54176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4842

207

Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?

Jan 6, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.85%chance

53193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1948

513

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

25.24%chance

133032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1721

581

Who will win the Democratic primary for California governor? Tony Thurmond or Katie Porter?

May 4, 5:24 PMJun 2, 11:59 PM

53018

OptionProbability

Katie Porter

Tony Thurmond

94

6

Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?

May 31, 4:49 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

95.91%chance

172468

OptionVotes

NO

YES

519

75

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.4%chance

222282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1377

729

Democrats representing California at start of 120th House term?

Oct 26, 5:08 PMFeb 1, 5:05 PM

3656

OptionProbability

41 - 43

44 - 46

47 - 49

50 - 52

35 - 37

38 - 40

Above 52

Below 35

17

17

15

14

11

11

8

6

Chamath prediction: democrats lose one of California or New York by 2032?

Nov 9, 8:00 AMNov 1, 1:59 PM

34.03%chance

8490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1392

718

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

213

OptionProbability

Kelly Seyarto (incumbent)

Other

53

47

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