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Prediction markets for California Insurance

State Farm announces it is leaving the California residential insurance market, announcement before December 31, 2025

Feb 15, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.77%chance

38209065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240954

20236

Will the CA FAIR plan get a bailout by 2026?

Jan 9, 8:03 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

42.36%chance

101145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

857

Conditional on California SB 1047 law, will an AI cause $500 million in damage by end of 2026?

Aug 9, 4:49 PMDec 30, 7:59 AM

7610

OptionProbability

SB 1047 does not pass and no

SB 1047 does not pass and yes

SB 1047 passes and yes

SB 1047 passes and no

90

31

1

1

Will California repeal or significantly amend Proposition 103 by December 31, 2028?

Jan 10, 2:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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