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Top stories

Newsom’s Redistricting Push Draws Sparse Crowd and Strong Opposition

Newsom’s Redistricting Push Draws Sparse Crowd and Strong Opposition

Authors

15

9 months ago

Prediction markets for California Republican Party

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.4%chance

222282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1377

729

Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.

Jan 12, 9:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

91170

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

90

10

Who will controls the house of representatives after 2026 midterms

Jan 5, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20736

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

82

18

0

Party Combo of top 2 candidates in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?

Dec 6, 7:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7690

OptionProbability

1 Democrat and 1 Republican

2 democrats

2 republicans

1 Democrat and 1 Third/Independent

1 Republican and 1 third/independent

2 third/independent

71

22

6

1

1

0

Will a Republican win California for President by 2050?

Apr 20, 2:48 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

34%chance

6271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

86

82

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3115

OptionProbability

Melissa Hurtado (incumbent)

Mike Boudreaux

Other

85

8

8

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

Roger Niello (incumbent)

Other

55

45

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

213

OptionProbability

Kelly Seyarto (incumbent)

Other

53

47

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