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Prediction markets for California Senate

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 24th State Senate district

Jun 4, 4:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2175

OptionProbability

John Erickson (Democratic)

Brian Goldsmith (Democratic)

Sion Roy (Democratic)

Mike Newhouse (Democratic)

Eric Alegria (Democratic)

Ellen Evans (Democratic)

Brittany McKinley (Democratic)

Kristina Irwin (Republican)

Other

21

18

16

12

9

8

6

5

5

Will Laphonza Butler ever run for California Senator?

Oct 3, 11:37 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.18%chance

5167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

61

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 30th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2105

OptionProbability

Bob Archuleta (incumbent)

Other

81

19

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district

Jun 4, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

290

OptionProbability

Catherine Blakespear (Democratic, Incumbent)

Other

55

45

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

285

OptionProbability

Melissa Hurtado (incumbent)

Mike Boudreaux

Other

79

10

10

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 20th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

265

OptionProbability

Caroline Menjivar (incumbent)

Other

61

39

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

Roger Niello (incumbent)

Other

55

45

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district

Jun 16, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)

Other

59

41

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 36th State Senate district

Jul 7, 3:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Tony Strickland (incumbent)

Other

55

45

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Marie Alvarado-Gil (incumbent)

Jaron Brandon

Jeramy Young

Other

40

20

20

20

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 26th State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Wendy Carrillo

Sara Hernandez

Other

33

33

33

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 2nd State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Damon Connolly

James Gore

Natalie Rogers

Other

25

25

25

25

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