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Prediction markets for Calle 22

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

78.94%chance

73804

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

985

Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?

Jul 11, 10:29 PMNov 7, 5:59 AM

162493

OptionProbability

Robert F Kennedy, Jr.

Gretchen Whitmer

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Michelle Obama

Gavin Newsom

Joe Biden

Hillary Clinton

59

57

57

56

50

34

28

26

Will Sergiy Velychko win a Nobel prize for his work on super-SOX by 2035?

Jun 14, 6:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.95%chance

71334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2295

436

Will IBM produce a functional 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computing system by 2033?

Jul 28, 8:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.33%chance

161319

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

874

Will either Gartner or IDC claim that by 2032, cloud spending quadrupled from 2022? (1,000 subsidy)

Jan 4, 6:31 PMMar 31, 2:59 AM

73.39%chance

81268

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1740

865

Dr. Fauci arrested for crimes against humanity before December 31, 2025

Apr 22, 11:08 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

3.65%chance

15970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

514

19

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