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Prediction markets for Caltech

Will I graduate from college?

Aug 30, 8:36 PMJun 16, 6:59 AM

84.1%chance

393245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2300

435

Where will I get in for CS PhD?

Feb 22, 4:53 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

172472

OptionProbability

UCSD CS

Caltech

Columbia

NYU

TTIC

UCLA

MIT

Berkeley

15

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Which college or university will the Rizzler attend?

Nov 2, 8:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

122402

OptionProbability

Other

MIT

Clemson

Penn State

RPI

NJIT

Brandeis

Caltech

Drexel

NYU

Cornell

Rutgers

Wellesley

Mount Holyoke

Bryn Mawr

Howard University

Spelman

33

11

9

8

7

6

5

5

4

3

3

3

1

1

1

1

1

Which college will Gus Walz attend?

Aug 27, 6:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7322

OptionProbability

Other

Rutgers

NYU

Cornell

University of Minnesota

NJIT

RPI

WPI

Drexel

John Hopkins

Clemson

U Penn

Caltech

67

5

4

4

4

3

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

Which college will get 3rd place on the 2026 Putnam exam?

May 3, 6:52 AMFeb 16, 4:59 AM

9240

OptionProbability

Stanford

Harvard

Carnegie Mellon

Caltech

Other

UChicago

26

22

18

16

11

8

Will the Caltech Mathathon be cancelled?

Sep 15, 7:11 AMOct 15, 7:05 AM

8%chance

462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

98

Will any Caltech students become a Thiel Fellow by EOY2030?

Nov 12, 10:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.61%chance

337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

Will Anthropic pull out as a sponsor of the Caltech Mathathon?

Sep 23, 2:18 PMOct 31, 10:59 PM

37.06%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

80

Will Tapio Schneider win the Carl-Gustaf Rossby Research Medal by EOY2045?

Apr 18, 7:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Whose research group is more elite: Bo Wang (U of T) or Bob Langer (MIT) or Mikhail Shapiro (Caltech)

May 12, 1:50 AM

20

Is William Wang (the USC-Caltech MD-PhD Student) funny?

Aug 22, 9:13 PM

10

Will Yisong Yue (caltech) and frances Arnold (Caltech) appear in an academic paper together?

Aug 11, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30

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