OptionProbability
He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.
He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.
Other
He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.
He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.
He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.
He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.
30
20
14
13
5
