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Prediction markets for Canada

Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?

Apr 28, 10:00 PMApr 28, 9:54 PM

5927537

OptionProbability

Mark Carney

Other

Pierre Poilievre

Doug Ford

Justin Trudeau

42

40

14

4

0

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?

Jan 26, 6:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.99%chance

123983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2382

420

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

78.94%chance

73804

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

985

Will Canada implement a national pharmacare program before 2026?

Apr 25, 11:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.59%chance

201759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1822

313

Will Canada close its border with the US to civilian travel due to a pandemic disease by Feb 1, 2029?

Feb 24, 7:15 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

17.04%chance

81351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2206

453

Will the Information Commissioner of Canada Resign in 2025?

Jul 18, 7:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

53.23%chance

6899

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

937

New pipeline project proposed in Canada in next 6 months?

Jun 8, 1:09 AMDec 8, 1:06 AM

39.86%chance

7441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

814

What will be the population of Canada in the year 2030?

Aug 1, 9:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.89%chance

11439

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1013

987

Will Canada sign the Framework Convention on AI before 2026?

Sep 9, 7:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.55%chance

5400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1239

807

Will I hear of anyone in the US or Canada placed under an involuntary psychiatric hold for talking about suicide from a philosophical perspective?

Nov 18, 2:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.9%chance

14273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

966

Shechita banned in Canada by EOY 2026?

May 25, 6:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

4199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

When will Canada's birth rate exceed India's birth rate?

Dec 9, 10:30 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM

3145

OptionProbability

Never

2076-2100

2051-2075

2025-2030

2031-2040

2041-2050

After 2100

22

18

15

11

11

11

11

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