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Prediction markets for Canada Post

Which European country will be the next to lose territory?

Jan 18, 2:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

20404

OptionProbability

Other

United Kingdom

Armenia

Russia

Moldova

Denmark

Spain

Albania

32

24

15

12

10

3

2

1

Will "Canada Lost Its Measles Elimination Status Be..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 26, 7:38 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

43.37%chance

3300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1242

264

Will more than 100,000 Americans move to Canada in the years 2025-2028?

Nov 18, 2:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26%chance

8262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Epstein-Barr virus vaccine by 2032?

Oct 26, 7:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.7%chance

5238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

79.01%chance

11213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

952

Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping — domestic opening weekend (Box Office Mojo)?

Oct 29, 10:50 AMNov 20, 4:00 AM

3128

OptionProbability

$90M or more

Under $45M

$45M–$55M

$55M–$65M

$65M–$75M

$75M–$90M

83

3

3

3

3

3

Will Rio Tinto RTIT Sc2O3 output for 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 3000 kg?

Mar 30, 10:02 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

31.99%chance

385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

95

Which will be the first Asian country to host an NFL International Series game?

Jun 11, 3:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

115

OptionProbability

China

Qatar

Other

Japan

South Korea

Singapore

Thailand

India

UAE

Saudi Arabia

20

15

15

14

6

6

6

6

6

6

Will Rio Tinto RTIT Sc2O3 output for 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 1500 kg?

Mar 30, 10:02 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

65%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Rio Tinto RTIT Sc2O3 output for 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 7000 kg?

Mar 30, 10:02 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

3%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Rio Tinto RTIT Sc2O3 output for 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 5000 kg?

Mar 30, 10:02 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

12%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Rio Tinto RTIT Sc2O3 output for 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 500 kg?

Mar 30, 10:02 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

88%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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