Canadian House of Commons News

Pierre Poilievre Wins Battle River-Crowfoot By-Election With 80% Vote, Returns to Parliament September 15

6 months ago

Will Alberta leave Canada?

Dec 24, 1:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94876

OptionProbability

Won’t leave before 2030

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.71%chance

373527

OptionVotes

YES

2659

684

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

28.84%chance

5705

OptionVotes

YES

1571

637

Canadian Liberals have a majority before EOY 2026?

Jan 21, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.15%chance

6589

OptionVotes

YES

118

When will Canada separate itself from the monarchy?

Mar 31, 1:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6376

OptionProbability

Not before King Charles has died/abdicated (not necessarily immediately)

By 2050

Not before Quebec declares independence

By 2040

Not before closing date

Before Quebec declares independence

While under King Charles

By 2030

In 2025

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Will Alberta leave Canada?

Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Canadian Liberals have a majority before EOY 2026?

When will Canada separate itself from the monarchy?

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