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Top stories

Canary Capital Seeks SEC Nod for Spot Trump Coin ETF

Canary Capital Seeks SEC Nod for Spot Trump Coin ETF

Authors

25

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Canary

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

Which U.S. late-night show host will still be hosting their show by Dec 2028, given recent firings and suspensions.

Sep 19, 8:38 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

15539

OptionProbability

John Oliver

Jimmy Kimmel

Jimmy Fallon

Seth Meyers

Bill Maher

Stephen Colbert

93

75

64

58

52

18

Brave Browser security/privacy scandal by 2030?

Mar 1, 3:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.35%chance

4200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

96

Will "BIG-Bench Canary Contamination in GPT-4" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Nov 9, 3:50 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

5%chance

1164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

85

Will "Non-Disparagement Canaries for OpenAI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 31, 3:38 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.19%chance

3160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

863

Message me my main identity (loss of anonymity canary).

Nov 12, 9:07 PM

00

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