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Prediction markets for CAP

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.52%chance

72137235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32209

7665

What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030

Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

210103496

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Alphabet

Apple

Microsoft

Anthropic

OpenAI

SpaceX

Tesla

Strategy₿ (MSTR)

Other

Meta

Amazon

TSMC

Broadcom

A company that did not exist at the posting of this question

ByteDance

ASML

Oracle

Saudi Aramco

Tencent

IBM

Baidu

Walmart

Berkshire Hathaway

Intel

Eli Lilly

17

14

11

11

11

10

5

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

10633080

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12752

7602

Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?

Dec 30, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19%chance

2913568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

48

Will Tesla overtake NVIDIA in market cap before 2030?

Jun 19, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.94%chance

7713194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2296

436

Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?

May 23, 9:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.03%chance

346345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1401

753

Will Nvidia's market cap exceed 10% of the total S&P 500 market cap by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:44 AMJan 7, 5:59 AM

47.64%chance

224128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

957

Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?

May 19, 4:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.62%chance

243592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2791

358

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?

Apr 20, 9:30 PMApr 20, 9:29 PM

30.87%chance

131830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2370

1713

Will the total crypto market cap reach >10 trillion USDe before 2030?

Sep 29, 5:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

17671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

978

What market cap will Tesla reach before 2036?

Nov 8, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7468

OptionProbability

$ 2 trillion

$ 3 trillion

$ 4 trillion

$ 6 trillion

$ 8.5 trillion

88

50

41

34

21

At what market cap will Manifold Markets exit?

Aug 31, 7:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.86%chance

21426

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2292

2135

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