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Prediction markets for CAP

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.05%chance

70131971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

35453

7520

What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030

Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19993324

OptionProbability

Alphabet

Nvidia

Apple

Microsoft

OpenAI

Anthropic

TSMC

Tesla

Amazon

Other

Strategy₿ (MSTR)

Broadcom

Meta

A company that did not exist at the posting of this question

SpaceX

ASML

Oracle

Saudi Aramco

Tencent

IBM

Baidu

Walmart

Berkshire Hathaway

Intel

Eli Lilly

ByteDance

15

15

12

12

9

7

6

5

4

4

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?

Dec 13, 9:10 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

96.36%chance

16333579

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7827

1229

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.69%chance

8616597

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12850

7975

Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?

Dec 30, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19%chance

2913568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

48

Will Tesla overtake NVIDIA in market cap before 2030?

Jun 19, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.94%chance

7713194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2296

436

Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?

May 23, 9:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.48%chance

336021

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1219

866

Will Nvidia's market cap exceed 10% of the total S&P 500 market cap by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:44 AMJan 7, 5:59 AM

47.64%chance

224128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

957

Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?

Jan 4, 9:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.2%chance

172097

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

928

Will the total crypto market cap reach >10 trillion USDe before 2030?

Sep 29, 5:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

17671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

978

What market cap will Tesla reach before 2036?

Nov 8, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7468

OptionProbability

$ 2 trillion

$ 3 trillion

$ 4 trillion

$ 6 trillion

$ 8.5 trillion

88

50

41

34

21

At what market cap will Manifold Markets exit?

Aug 31, 7:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.86%chance

21426

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2292

2135

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