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Prediction markets for CAP

What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030

Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18470587

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Microsoft

Apple

Alphabet

Tesla

OpenAI

Other

Strategy₿ (MSTR)

Amazon

Anthropic

TSMC

Meta

A company that did not exist at the posting of this question

SpaceX

ASML

Saudi Aramco

Tencent

IBM

Baidu

Walmart

Berkshire Hathaway

Intel

Eli Lilly

ByteDance

24

17

15

8

7

7

7

4

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will my startup Retis Labs become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.41%chance

4350042

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20781

8355

Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?

Dec 13, 9:10 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

94.85%chance

16229120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5853

1319

Will Tesla overtake NVIDIA in market cap before 2030?

Jun 19, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.33%chance

7713184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2350

426

Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?

Dec 30, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13%chance

239748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?

May 23, 9:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

64.83%chance

315105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1358

737

Which company will have the largest market cap as of 12/31/30?

Nov 11, 7:10 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

222453

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Microsoft

Apple

Alphabet

Other

Amazon

Saudi Aramco

Tesla

Meta

SpaceX

Tencent

X.com / The X Company

Samsung

Stripe

33

24

21

6

4

4

2

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

NVIDIA's Market Cap on Jan 1, 2026, in $ Trillions?

Jul 14, 7:55 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM

36.52%chance

271411

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1138

656

Will SAP SE be the biggest European company by market cap on the 31st of December, 2025

Feb 13, 9:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.11%chance

5874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

982

Will the total crypto market cap reach >10 trillion USDe before 2030?

Sep 29, 5:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

17671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

978

At what market cap will Manifold Markets exit?

Aug 31, 7:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.86%chance

21426

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2292

2135

R.I.S.K. at 500k mana market cap before 2026?

Jun 11, 2:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

5235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1157

1057

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