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Prediction markets for Capita

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38%chance

620657713

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5542

4227

Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?

Jun 21, 6:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

79.9%chance

3113495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1450

838

Will the UK’s GDP per capita exceed the US’ at any time before 2040?

Aug 12, 1:59 PMDec 19, 11:59 PM

18.42%chance

253728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2104

475

Will Poland's GDP per capita be greater than 25000 USD by 2030?

Aug 7, 7:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94%chance

243472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3956

476

Will Russia surpass Japan in GDP per capita (PPP) by 2035?

Jan 27, 8:30 PMFeb 4, 4:59 AM

15.86%chance

152507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

434

In 2028, will Israel's GDP per Capita be higher than Sweden's?

Jun 5, 11:02 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

64.57%chance

92190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1350

741

Will the UK GDP per capita growth be more than that of remaining EU member countries from 2018 to 2048?

Jan 26, 3:53 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

23.32%chance

261480

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

714

Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035?

Feb 11, 12:44 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.82%chance

161279

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1019

756

Will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050?

May 9, 5:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.72%chance

191035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

896

Will Poland overtake UK in GDP per capita by 2050?

May 9, 9:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.78%chance

16396

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

811

Will US GDP per capita exceed 10x Western Europe's before 2050?

Mar 7, 5:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.24%chance

7271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1157

964

China's nominal GDP per capita reaches 20% of US's in which year?

Sep 3, 9:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

466

OptionProbability

2031-2035

2026-2030

2036-2040

2041-2045

2046-2050

After 2050

43

18

11

11

11

6

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