Capital Economics News

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.23%chance

395131824

OptionVotes

YES

2680

373

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.68%chance

173564

OptionVotes

YES

1159

926

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.07%chance

191743

OptionVotes

YES

2130

470

Stock: Which Economic System is better: Capitalism (BUY) or Socialism (SHORT)?

Jun 4, 10:47 PMJun 5, 4:59 AM

14999

OptionProbability

YES

557

199

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

1259

922

Which Bittensor subnet from SN1–SN64 will be the most valuable at the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8677

OptionProbability

SN64

SN4

SN9

SN8

SN51

SN1

SN2

SN3

SN5

SN6

SN7

SN10

SN11

SN12

SN13

SN14

SN15

SN16

SN17

SN18

SN19

SN20

SN21

SN22

SN23

SN24

SN25

SN26

SN27

SN28

SN29

SN30

SN31

SN32

SN33

SN34

SN35

SN36

SN37

SN38

SN39

SN40

SN41

SN42

SN43

SN44

SN45

SN46

SN47

SN48

SN49

SN50

SN52

SN53

SN54

SN55

SN56

SN57

SN58

SN59

SN60

SN61

SN62

SN63

Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?

Jan 3, 9:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.44%chance

22601

OptionVotes

YES

109

If Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]

Feb 22, 7:44 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

16559

OptionProbability

Ukraine runs out of soldiers - further mobilization not feasible

Western aid shortage / economic collapse in Ukraine

Decisive Russian military victory

Trump wins US elections and forces Ukraine to cede territories

Black swan geopolitical events 🦢

Collapse of Ukraine's government

What will be the population of Canada in the year 2030?

Aug 1, 9:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.06%chance

12539

OptionProbability

YES

1087

906

Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?

Oct 2, 1:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.83%chance

10525

OptionVotes

YES

1282

780

Who is the antichrist?

Aug 21, 1:45 PMJan 1, 2:40 PM

14215

OptionProbability

Sam Altman

Peter Thiel

the antichrist

Any political or economic abstraction, such as "the state" or "capitalism"

Other

Donald Trump

The emperor Nero

Artificial superintelligence (any)

Elon Musk

Anyone who denies the Father and the Son (1 John 2:22)

The Pope (any)

Aleister Crowley

proto-gnostics in ancient Ephesus

Mark Zuckerberg

My vegetarian friend who only eats meat once a year on Good Friday

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.39%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

100

Capital Economics News

Prediction markets for Capital Economics

Prediction markets for Capital Economics

Prediction markets for Capital Economics

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Stock: Which Economic System is better: Capitalism (BUY) or Socialism (SHORT)?

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Which Bittensor subnet from SN1–SN64 will be the most valuable at the end of 2026?

Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?

If Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]

What will be the population of Canada in the year 2030?

Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?

Who is the antichrist?

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Latest stories