Capital Economics News

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.3%chance

425145826

OptionVotes

YES

2803

357

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

Jan 13, 7:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.82%chance

394851

OptionVotes

YES

587

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.68%chance

173564

OptionVotes

YES

1159

926

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.46%chance

191770

OptionVotes

YES

2102

476

Stock: Which Economic System is better: Capitalism (BUY) or Socialism (SHORT)?

Jun 4, 10:47 PMJun 5, 4:59 AM

14999

OptionProbability

YES

557

199

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.18%chance

19899

OptionVotes

YES

1264

921

What will be the population of Canada in the year 2030?

Aug 1, 9:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.06%chance

12539

OptionProbability

YES

1087

906

Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?

Oct 2, 1:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.83%chance

10525

OptionVotes

YES

1282

780

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

YES

1319

797

Who is the antichrist?

Aug 21, 1:45 PMJan 1, 2:40 PM

14215

OptionProbability

Sam Altman

Peter Thiel

the antichrist

Any political or economic abstraction, such as "the state" or "capitalism"

Other

Donald Trump

The emperor Nero

Artificial superintelligence (any)

Elon Musk

Anyone who denies the Father and the Son (1 John 2:22)

The Pope (any)

Aleister Crowley

proto-gnostics in ancient Ephesus

Mark Zuckerberg

My vegetarian friend who only eats meat once a year on Good Friday

Will Flanders secede from Belgium by EOY 2070?

Oct 13, 12:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

222

OptionVotes

YES

120

(AGI before 2050) x (FTSE Global All Cap Index Real Return)

Feb 7, 10:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

(NO) x (-10% to <20%)

(YES) x (-10% to <20%)

(YES) x (<-10%)

(YES) x (>=20%)

(NO) x (<-10%)

(NO) x (>=20%)

Capital Economics News

Prediction markets for Capital Economics

Prediction markets for Capital Economics

Prediction markets for Capital Economics

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Stock: Which Economic System is better: Capitalism (BUY) or Socialism (SHORT)?

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

What will be the population of Canada in the year 2030?

Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Who is the antichrist?

Will Flanders secede from Belgium by EOY 2070?

(AGI before 2050) x (FTSE Global All Cap Index Real Return)

Latest stories