Capital Markets and Securities News

Leader of Iran at end of 2026?

Mar 15, 2:52 AMMar 23, 11:59 PM

12620551

OptionProbability

Other

Mojtaba Khamenei

Reza Pahlavi

No Head Of State

Hassan Rouhani

Masoud Pezeshkian

Hassan Khomeini

Sadegh Larijani

Alireza Arafi

Maryam Rajavi

Ali Larijani

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

Abbas Araghchi

Ahmad Vahidi

Mohammad Khatami

Ali Asghar Hejazi

Donald Trump

Hassan Shariatmadari

Marco Rubio

[Polymarket] What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Dec 17, 1:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

254311

OptionProbability

$STAR

$SPAX

$SX

$SEX

$MARS

$SPACE

Other

$SPC

Will Mexico still host all of the planned FIFA World Cup games this year?

Feb 25, 3:58 AMJul 20, 10:59 PM

87.09%chance

544094

OptionVotes

YES

10078

9989

On 1 April 2026: who is the de facto executive authority in Caracas?

Jan 3, 10:34 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

183920

OptionProbability

United Socialist Party of Venezuela Representative

Opposition representative

Military junta

Contested/dual power/civil war

US Government

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

YES

1009

979

Will the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?

Aug 23, 12:31 AMSep 23, 3:59 AM

20.06%chance

2875

OptionVotes

YES

1334

101

Will NYC subway trains (on any line) still have conductors in 2035?

May 25, 12:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

86.87%chance

8731

OptionVotes

YES

257

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Nov 17, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.07%chance

8241

OptionVotes

YES

299

Hollywood American Revolution film box office top 10 by July 4, 2076?

Jul 30, 8:39 AMJul 4, 10:59 PM

27.2%chance

11181

OptionVotes

YES

164

Now Google buys Dave & Buster’s in 2036

Feb 10, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.23%chance

2160

OptionVotes

YES

133

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Jan 6, 7:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

687

OptionProbability

Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028

No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028

Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMDec 31, 2:48 PM

438

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

Capital Markets and Securities News

Prediction markets for Capital Markets and Securities

Prediction markets for Capital Markets and Securities

Prediction markets for Capital Markets and Securities

Leader of Iran at end of 2026?

[Polymarket] What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Will Mexico still host all of the planned FIFA World Cup games this year?

On 1 April 2026: who is the de facto executive authority in Caracas?

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Will the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?

Will NYC subway trains (on any line) still have conductors in 2035?

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Hollywood American Revolution film box office top 10 by July 4, 2076?

Now Google buys Dave & Buster’s in 2036

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

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