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Capital Markets and Securities News

Leader of Iran at end of 2026?

Mar 15, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21651818

OptionProbability

Mojtaba Khamenei

Other

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

Ahmad Vahidi

Reza Pahlavi

Hassan Rouhani

No Head Of State

Alireza Arafi

Hassan Khomeini

Navid Shomali

Mohamed Amin

Ali Larijani

Masoud Pezeshkian

Maryam Rajavi

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Sadegh Larijani

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

Abbas Araghchi

Mohammad Khatami

Ali Asghar Hejazi

Donald Trump

Hassan Shariatmadari

Marco Rubio

Nasir Hosseini

74

11

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Mexico still host all of the planned FIFA World Cup games this year?

Feb 25, 3:58 AMJul 20, 10:59 PM

92.95%chance

7016402

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17913

9249

U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?

Jun 9, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.68%chance

2910483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108524

104615

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.68%chance

173564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

926

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

53421

OptionProbability

Gallium

Germanium

Neodymium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

11

11

10

9

8

8

8

6

6

6

6

6

5

What will Anthropics Public Ticker be?

Jun 2, 8:30 AMJun 2, 8:31 AM

212337

OptionProbability

$ANTH

Other

$THNK

$ANT

$CLAU

49

35

7

7

1

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

May 25, 8:51 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

11.02%chance

111566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1753

147

Will the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?

Aug 23, 12:31 AMSep 23, 3:59 AM

20.06%chance

2875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

101

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

691

Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?

Jun 16, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.4%chance

8346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1119

894

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Nov 17, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.17%chance

8243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

282

35

Will OpenDroids (https://jackjay.io/) raise > $2 Million by EOY2028?

May 21, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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