OptionVotes
NO
YES
6126
3286
2597
385
OptionProbability
United Socialist Party of Venezuela Representative
US Government
Military junta
Opposition representative
Contested/dual power/civil war
81
6
5
4
257
39
1133
948
Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB
Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)
Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment
Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01
Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01
66
52
51
45
38
37
34
171
58
Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028
No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028
Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028
53
25
22