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Top stories

Egerton, Baker Brothers Lead Q2 Hedge-Fund Portfolio Shifts

Egerton, Baker Brothers Lead Q2 Hedge-Fund Portfolio Shifts

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Capital One Financial

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.03%chance

302990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

905

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

May 25, 8:51 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

10.1%chance

131703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1764

95

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.18%chance

19899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1264

921

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Will CRWV270115C00140000 expire in-the-money?

Jan 20, 3:03 PMJan 15, 4:00 PM

11.36%chance

4239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?

Apr 7, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.32%chance

8104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

294

148

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMDec 31, 2:48 PM

562

OptionProbability

Perplexity

xAI

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

38

28

19

7

7

Will Apple become defunct before 2100?

Sep 24, 5:44 AMDec 31, 7:30 AM

20%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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