Capital Power News

Rotten Tomatoes Verified Audience 'Popcornmeter' Score for 'Melania'? 🍿 (2026)

Jan 28, 8:51 PMFeb 16, 4:59 AM

7716041

OptionProbability

98% or Higher

96% – 97%

0% – 59%

60% – 85%

86% – 95%

Will Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term?

Jan 22, 7:34 PMJan 7, 4:59 AM

37.06%chance

8013858

OptionVotes

YES

1021

973

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

18.79%chance

515104

OptionVotes

YES

2079

481

Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in power at the end of his term?

Jan 26, 7:04 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

66.56%chance

383588

OptionVotes

YES

1389

722

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

YES

1928

630

On 1 April 2026: who is the de facto executive authority in Caracas?

Jan 3, 10:34 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

161789

OptionProbability

United Socialist Party of Venezuela Representative

US Government

Military junta

Opposition representative

Contested/dual power/civil war

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.97%chance

251329

OptionVotes

YES

1017

852

Will Myanmar's junta still be in control of Myanmar through 2026?

Dec 2, 2:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.17%chance

9991

OptionVotes

YES

586

Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2032?

Mar 9, 11:53 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

12.74%chance

9672

OptionVotes

YES

443

136

Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?

Jul 15, 10:32 PMJul 15, 10:28 PM

49.66%chance

3661

OptionVotes

YES

1007

993

Will Myanmar's military junta lose power before 2030?

Dec 4, 1:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.4%chance

4257

OptionVotes

YES

1133

948

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Jan 6, 7:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

677

OptionProbability

Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028

No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028

Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028

Capital Power News

Prediction markets for Capital Power

Prediction markets for Capital Power

Prediction markets for Capital Power

Rotten Tomatoes Verified Audience 'Popcornmeter' Score for 'Melania'? 🍿 (2026)

Will Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term?

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in power at the end of his term?

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

On 1 April 2026: who is the de facto executive authority in Caracas?

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Will Myanmar's junta still be in control of Myanmar through 2026?

Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2032?

Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?

Will Myanmar's military junta lose power before 2030?

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

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