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Prediction markets for Carmell

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Oct 22, 7:20 AMNov 8, 4:59 AM

138281

OptionProbability

Christopher Luxon

Chris Hipkins

Chlöe Swarbrick

David Seymour

Winston Peters

Nicola Willis

Carmel Sepuloni

82

18

0

0

0

0

0

Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?

Oct 14, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

173168

OptionProbability

Chris Hipkins

Other

Kieran McAnulty

Max Harris

Carmel Sepuloni

Arena Williams

David Parker

Megan Woods

Peeni Henare

Cushla Tangaere-Manuel

Grant Robertson

Ayesha Verrall

Adrian Rurawhe

Barbara Edmonds

Willie Jackson

Christ Hipkins

Damien O'Connor

Ginny Anderson

48

22

7

6

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Who Will be Deputy Prime Minister after the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 25, 11:11 PMNov 21, 11:11 PM

42007

OptionProbability

Other

Winston Peters

David Seymour

Chloe Swabrick

Carmel Sepuloni

Nicola Willis

38

24

21

13

2

2

Will BP returned to Israel after two years in exile?

Dec 17, 11:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.96%chance

41155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

717

Will Scott Alexander attend an ACX meet up in Israel before 2028?

Oct 29, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.93%chance

10379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

301

33

Next NZ Labour Leader?

Sep 27, 7:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1250

OptionProbability

Other

Arena Williams

Carmel Sepuloni

Michael Wood

55

15

15

15

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