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Prediction markets for Carrier

Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

May 19, 5:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.54%chance

1227327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3058

2319

Will Nauru acquire an aircraft carrier before 2031?

Feb 18, 11:53 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

1%chance

61416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

36

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through mid 2026

Jan 2, 8:10 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

16.47%chance

18862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

44

Who will France’s next aircraft carrier be named after?

Apr 9, 4:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9523

OptionProbability

France Libre

Other

Richelieu

Jeanne d'Arc

François Mitterand

Simone Veil

Leclerc

Darlan

85

8

2

2

1

1

1

1

Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033

Jan 1, 11:35 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

18.79%chance

20455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

960

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026

Jul 13, 5:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8%chance

6365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

218

54

The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028

Jul 13, 5:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18%chance

11353

OptionVotes

NO

YES

997

938

Will China launch nine aircraft carriers by the end of 2035?

Dec 24, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.32%chance

8303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

74

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

Mar 13, 1:20 PMMar 20, 3:59 PM

78.73%chance

7175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

355

126

Will hypersonic missile(s) sink a US aircraft carrier by 2030?

May 19, 4:38 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12.19%chance

8130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

121

Will China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?

Jan 1, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.75%chance

336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will the US Navy commission more than four Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

69

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