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Prediction markets for CAT

Cat girl ears by end of 2029?

Dec 11, 2:21 AMNov 23, 12:35 PM

23.33%chance

8013486

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1072

893

Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?

Aug 20, 3:03 PMAug 21, 9:59 PM

12.59%chance

308500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

938

Will most people be dating robot cat girls in 15 years?

Apr 7, 7:37 PMApr 7, 11:59 PM

1.93%chance

344164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

713

14

Will "Backyard cat fight shows Schelling points pre..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 15, 7:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

4.38%chance

22001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2978

837

Will there be a cat on Mars any time through 2036?

Aug 31, 8:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.6%chance

171376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1798

893

Will a house cat die in space through 2029

Aug 31, 8:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.4%chance

15686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1309

941

By which year will longevity research enable a pet cat's lifespan to be extended by 10 years?

Dec 2, 6:38 PMJan 1, 6:08 PM

14602

OptionProbability

By 2040

By 2030

By 2050

By 2060

By 2070

By 2080

37

17

15

13

11

7

Will a dog walk on the moon before a cat?

Apr 3, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.79%chance

14224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

985

Will a dog get to the moon before a cat?

Apr 24, 3:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.38%chance

15191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

929

Will "The Cats are On To Something" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 2, 10:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.11%chance

3173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

977

Will Gwern and Rochelle Shen end up dating and playdating their cats by EOY2026

Nov 15, 2:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.89%chance

3160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

38

Will hormones that make you grow a cat tail be available over-the-counter by 2300?

Jun 26, 7:16 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.86%chance

8101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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