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Prediction markets for CAT

Cat girl ears by end of 2029?

Dec 11, 2:21 AMNov 23, 12:35 PM

15%chance

8113890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1379

960

Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?

Aug 20, 3:03 PMAug 21, 9:59 PM

9.47%chance

3510603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1526

894

Will most people be dating robot cat girls in 15 years?

Apr 7, 7:37 PMApr 7, 11:59 PM

6.14%chance

374471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

391

26

Will "Backyard cat fight shows Schelling points pre..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 15, 7:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

4.75%chance

42011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2769

847

Will there be a cat on Mars any time through 2036?

Aug 31, 8:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.6%chance

171376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1798

893

Will "A cat-belling problem for FDT" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Oct 27, 2:01 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

1800

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will CAT outperform DOG in 2026?

Jan 2, 6:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.97%chance

8696

OptionVotes

NO

YES

395

25

Will a house cat die in space through 2029

Aug 31, 8:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.4%chance

15686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1309

941

Will a dog walk on the moon before a cat?

Apr 3, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.79%chance

14224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

985

Will "The Cats are On To Something" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 2, 10:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.59%chance

4223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

970

Will a dog get to the moon before a cat?

Apr 24, 3:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.6%chance

16201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

926

How long will my cat, Maya, live?

Oct 4, 7:15 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

63.48%chance

10143

OptionProbability

YES

NO

140

134

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