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Prediction markets for CAT

Cat girl ears by end of 2029?

Dec 11, 2:21 AMNov 23, 12:35 PM

18.26%chance

8013736

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1143

1007

Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?

Aug 20, 3:03 PMAug 21, 9:59 PM

6.65%chance

309450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2113

843

Will most people be dating robot cat girls in 15 years?

Apr 7, 7:37 PMApr 7, 11:59 PM

7.51%chance

364431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

351

28

Will "Backyard cat fight shows Schelling points pre..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 15, 7:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

4.38%chance

22001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2978

837

Will there be a cat on Mars any time through 2036?

Aug 31, 8:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.6%chance

171376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1798

893

Will a house cat die in space through 2029

Aug 31, 8:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.4%chance

15686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1309

941

First domestic cat on Mars?

Apr 17, 4:38 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

2.39%chance

11287

OptionProbability

NO

YES

998

975

Will a dog walk on the moon before a cat?

Apr 3, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.79%chance

14224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

985

Will a dog get to the moon before a cat?

Apr 24, 3:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.38%chance

15191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

929

Will "The Cats are On To Something" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 2, 10:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.11%chance

3173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

977

Will CAT outperform DOG in 2026?

Jan 2, 6:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.11%chance

3167

OptionVotes

NO

YES

195

51

Will Gwern and Rochelle Shen end up dating and playdating their cats by EOY2026

Nov 15, 2:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.89%chance

3160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

38

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