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Prediction markets for CAT

Cat girl ears by end of 2029?

Dec 11, 2:21 AMNov 23, 12:35 PM

18.26%chance

8013736

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1143

1007

Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?

Aug 20, 3:03 PMAug 21, 9:59 PM

6.32%chance

309550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2213

836

Will most people be dating robot cat girls in 15 years?

Apr 7, 7:37 PMApr 7, 11:59 PM

6.14%chance

374471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

391

26

Will "Backyard cat fight shows Schelling points pre..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 15, 7:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

4.38%chance

22001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2978

837

Will there be a cat on Mars any time through 2036?

Aug 31, 8:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.6%chance

171376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1798

893

Before 2028, will over 50 Anthropic employees show up in office in cat ears?

Jun 18, 3:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.94%chance

19934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

48

Will we reach the longevity escape velocity soon enough to save my cats?

Nov 2, 12:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.28%chance

10823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

500

124

Will a house cat die in space through 2029

Aug 31, 8:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.4%chance

15686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1309

941

Will a dog walk on the moon before a cat?

Apr 3, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.79%chance

14224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

985

Will a dog get to the moon before a cat?

Apr 24, 3:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.38%chance

15191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

929

Will "The Cats are On To Something" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 2, 10:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.11%chance

3173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

977

Will CAT outperform DOG in 2026?

Dec 23, 1:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.17%chance

4150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

157

64

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