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Prediction markets for Catalent

Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.9%chance

241907

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1254

870

Will Catalonia leave Spain before 2040?

May 29, 9:56 AMJan 1, 12:00 PM

21.17%chance

251356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1399

840

Will Catalunya leave Spain by 2040?

Jan 24, 8:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.67%chance

15902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1601

835

Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?

Nov 8, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

88.66%chance

9767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

292

81

Will Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?

Apr 1, 10:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10.03%chance

11751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1503

909

Will the Catala legal programming language still be maintained in 2030?

Sep 18, 8:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.59%chance

15583

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

668

Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?

Jun 8, 2:50 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

30.3%chance

12464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

60

Is Catalan's constant irrational?

Mar 27, 7:23 PMSep 16, 1:41 AM

88.3%chance

9328

OptionVotes

NO

YES

377

137

Is Catalan's constant transcendental?

Mar 27, 7:26 PMSep 16, 1:41 AM

74.58%chance

9192

OptionVotes

NO

YES

259

182

Which of Catalonia, Scotland, or Quebec will achieve independence first?

Oct 26, 3:50 AMOct 27, 6:59 AM

14172

OptionProbability

Scotland

Quebec

Catalonia

69

17

14

Will Netflix offer a basic subscription tier whose catalogue consists predominantly of AI-generated content by EOY 2036?

Aug 14, 6:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.83%chance

339

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Will there be a 50th anniversary publication with Whole Earth Catalog and a 2028 date on the cover?

Jan 10, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.23%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

91

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