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Prediction markets for CEL

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Jan 8, 2:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

226519

OptionProbability

Never or after 1/1/2030

1/1/2026-12/31/2026

1/1/2027-12/31/2027

1/1/2028-12/31/2028

1/1/2029-12/31/2029

Before 2026

68

8

7

7

7

0

D4vd convicted of crimes related to Celeste Rivas?

Sep 19, 6:25 PMDec 19, 7:18 PM

81.36%chance

142428

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1797

173

Will Iranian-backed sleeper cell activity result in US casualties before 2029?

Mar 10, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.67%chance

221578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

772

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:01 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

75.3%chance

221554

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

975

Will a human land on any celestial body other than Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2040?

Feb 7, 6:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

20.05%chance

211537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1353

871

Will a US presidential candidate promise a national ban on cell-cultivated, lab-grown meat before 2030?

May 23, 2:42 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

54.71%chance

351452

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

910

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:00 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

75.78%chance

141441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

974

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Apr 5, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.89%chance

341434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2250

1738

Viable human eggs from human cells in a lab by 2030?

May 12, 5:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.22%chance

5207

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1205

830

Will there be a Cellcraft 2 before 2030?

Mar 17, 6:39 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27.38%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

962

Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)

May 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

Lightcell's system demonstrates higher power-to-weight ratio than PEM fuel cell system by 2028?

Jun 22, 8:18 PMDec 31, 9:17 PM

47.56%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

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